The Mississippi Miracle is the rapid improvement of K–12 student performance in Mississippi since 2013, widely attributed to a series of policy, curriculum, and pedagogical changes initiated at the state level. The term can also be used to generally refer to improvements in student test scores in other southern states that implemented similar changes, which has also been dubbed the "Southern surge".^[1] The positive changes followed decades of low academic performance in the state and likely helped minimize some of the negative educational impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Mississippi students were performing a full grade level below their peers around the country as recently as 2013, but by 2024, they were performing nearly half a grade level above the average U.S. student.^[2] The Miracle has been accredited to various causes working together, principally driven in Mississippi by the Literacy-Based Promotion Act (LBPA)^[3] and in other states by similar forces and trends.^[4][5]

Mississippi has been the poorest state in the United States for decades, and by a significant margin. It has the highest percentage of Americans living in poverty, and places last or nearly last on a host of measures, to the point that the satirical phrase "Thank God for Mississippi" exists in other low-performing states, since Mississippi usually spares them the shame of being last.

Education was no exception; in 2013, the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) ranked Mississippi in 49th place nationally for fourth-grade literacy, with the average fourth-grade student receiving a reading score of 209, considerably lower than the national average of 221^[6]. Seeing this, Mississippi attempted to tackle the problem with the Literacy-Based Promotion Act,^[7] a bill introduced to improve students' reading skills "so that every student completing third grade reads at or above grade level".^[8] The bill was sponsored by 7 Republicans and 1 Democrat. The bill garnered support from both parties, including all but 2 Republicans and 14 Democrats in the House. It passed both houses of the Mississippi Legislature by wide margins, having passed the Senate 51–0, and the House 113–5–2.^[9] It was then signed into law by Governor Phil Bryant on April 18, 2013.

Similar circumstances inspired Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Arkansas, among other states, to tackle their own struggling education systems.

Mississippi's LBPA contained four different fundamental provisions meant to ensure student success.^[10]

Mississippi's classroom teachers were not expected to change the trajectory of their students alone. Instead, money was devoted to hiring highly trained reading coaches to support students, as well as special literacy-based professional development for all teachers.^[10] This embrace of phonics education and the near-complete rejection of whole language theory was a key component of the program's success.^[11]

Schools began to screen students at a young age for issues in literacy so that they would be able to have access to specialized services that would help them catch up and achieve mastery. Tests are given three times annually from kindergarten through third grade, and students who show a lack of proficiency receive support corresponding to their needs.

Schools were given direction on how to best address the needs and gaps detected by all this testing. Each struggling child receives an Individualized Reading Plan, which is crafted by a joint effort of parents and teachers. Parent involvement was and is vital for student mastery of reading.

Students in 3rd grade are given multiple opportunities to pass a reading test, often known as the "third-grade gate". Students who repeatedly earn less than a passing grade on the test are retained and do not proceed to fourth grade, instead being assigned to a teacher with expertise in helping struggling readers. While precise figures are hard to come by, it is estimated that roughly 6.5% of Mississippi third-graders were held back in 2023, with the vast majority of these students having failed to pass the reading test.^[12] This was a lower proportion of students than were held back in previous years.

Mississippi Governor Tate Reeves said of introducing mandatory retention of struggling students:

Many folks said, "Look, you can't do that. If you do that, fifty percent of our kids are going to be held back or sixty percent of our kids are going to be held back." But we had the exact opposite experience. What actually happened is we raised the level of expectations, and Mississippians did what Mississippians do. They rose up and they met those increased expectations.^[13]

The NAEP gives a standardized, nationwide test to fourth-grade students in both reading and mathematics. The Urban Institute adjusts the results by demographics, adjusting for income, race, and other factors correlated with variance in academic achievement.^[14]

After adjusting for demographics, in 2024, Mississippi was the nation's #1 state in reading as well as in mathematics. This was the state whose students' performance increased the most from 2013 until 2022, despite the COVID-19 pandemic which contributed to depressed scores nationwide.^[15]

Even without any adjustments for demographics, Mississippi ranks ninth in fourth-grade literacy.^[16] African-Americans in Mississippi outperform African-Americans in 47 of the other 49 states in reading; Mississippi's Hispanic students lead the nation for their demographic in reading (and second place in math).

These improvements are also taking place in Arkansas, Florida, and Louisiana, though less dramatically.

These results also hold true (though less dramatically) in math; as students across the four southern states experience more success in reading, they are also showing more progress in math.

This growth has carried over to a large degree to eighth-grade students. While in 2013, Mississippi students were 13 points behind their nationwide peers in both reading and mathematics, by 2023, the gap had narrowed to just 6 points in the former and 7 points in the latter.^[17][18] However, Mississippi officials are aware that the improvement of older students is not as dramatic as that of younger students, and steps are being taken to address this.^[19]

Louisiana students have also historically performed very poorly compared to their peers across the nation.^[20] After implementing their own literacy reforms, including the Steve Carter Literacy Program, scores have risen dramatically; after adjusting for demographics, Louisiana now ranks in the top ten states for education nationally. Alongside Mississippi, Louisiana is one of only six states whose scores improved from 2013 to 2022.

State Superintendent Cade Brumley said, "Look, we're very excited. Our team is excited, teachers are excited, the governor is excited — everyone is happy about the progress. I am thankful too. This is a place we've never been as a state. But too many kids can't read on grade level. Too many can't do math. And too many are still stuck in schools that are failing them. We've got a ton of work to do."^[21]

Whole language learning and balanced literacy is on the decline nationally as a result of districts and states around the country noticing the Mississippi Miracle.^[22] Other states, such as New York and Wisconsin, are implementing phonics-based curricula and strategies, sometimes referred to as the Science of reading.^[23]

Other states have taken notice; South Carolina state senator Dwight Loftis said in 2024 that "Mississippi is ahead of us. We used to say 'Thank God for Mississippi'. Now we can say 'Thank God for Mississippi, they've done it and they know how to do it.' We have to change our education department."^[24]

States that did not implement the reforms that Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas and Florida utilized have suffered; Oklahoma, for instance, passed a bill in 2012 that mirrored the LBPA, only to pass a new law two years later that defanged the law. This was done to avoid actually holding back the students that could not read at grade level. Oklahoma's scores have since plummeted and the state ranks near the bottom of the NAEP's list.^[25][16]

UFLI, a Science of Reading project of the University of Florida, has led to tremendous student growth in reading,^[26] both inside and outside of Florida.^[27]

U.S Secretary of Education chair Linda McMahon invoked 'The Mississippi Miracle' during her 'Returning Education to the States Tour',^[28] in which she highlighted decentralized, state‑led education models that align with The Trump administration’s goal of shifting federal control of education to states and communities after Donald Trump ordered the closing of The Department of Education.^[29]

Critics suggest that the improvements in test scores are partially, or entirely, attributable to policies that "game" the statistics. An article by Wainer et al. comments:

It is disappointing, but not surprising, that the lion’s share of the effects of the “Mississippi miracle” are yet another case of gaming the system. There is no miracle to behold. There is nothing special in Mississippi’s literacy reform model that should be replicated globally. It just emphasizes the obvious advice that, if you want your students to get high scores, don’t allow those students who are likely to get low scores to take the test.^[30]

• Phonics
• Reading
• Science of reading
• Structured literacy

• Spencer, Noah (2024). "Comprehensive early literacy policy and the 'Mississippi Miracle'". Economics of Education Review. 103. doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2024.102598.