For related races, see 2026 United States Senate elections.

2026 United States Senate election in Texas
← 2020
November 3, 2026
2032 →
 
Nominee TBD James Talarico
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

John Cornyn
Republican


The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. State representative James Talarico is the Democratic nominee. The Republican nominee will be determined in a runoff election between four-term incumbent John Cornyn and state attorney general Ken Paxton on May 26, 2026, after no candidate secured a majority of the vote in the March 3 primary. Democrats have not won a Senate election in Texas since 1988.

Republican primary

Background

Incumbent senator John Cornyn is seeking a fifth term but is facing a competitive primary from attorney general Ken Paxton, which is progressing to a runoff after no candidate reached a majority in the first round. The two have clashed for years, with Paxton criticizing Cornyn for being insufficiently conservative, particularly over his support for U.S. aid to Ukraine, DREAM Act for DACA beneficiaries and playing a leading role in the passage of the bipartisan gun safety bill after the Uvalde school massacre. Cornyn, in turn, has highlighted Paxton's legal troubles, perceived character flaws and corruption, and his 2023 impeachment, in which Paxton was impeached by the Republican-controlled Texas House before the Senate later acquitted him of all charges.[1][2][3][4]

The race has been seen as a key contest between the Texas Republican Party's establishment wing and its hardline conservative faction.[1] In recent years, insurgent hard-right candidates have steadily gained ground, often ousting more traditional GOP officials. Polling reflects this divide: Paxton holds a commanding lead among "Trump Movement" voters, while Cornyn performs better with the smaller group of "Traditional Republicans".[5] On May 19, 2026 Donald Trump announced his endorsement for Paxton[6], while previously describing both Paxton and Cornyn as good friends.[7] His influence was widely seen as a key factor in determining the primary winner.[8] He had previously criticized Cornyn as a "hopeless" RINO (Republican in name only) for supporting the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, an attack Paxton's campaign highlighted in their ads.[9][10] Ted Cruz, the junior senator, has likewise avoided taking a side in the primary, though he previously endorsed Cornyn in 2020.[11]

The election takes place amid efforts by the state Republican Party to restrict its primary to registered members. Legislation to allow closed primaries failed, prompting the party to sue the state, claiming the current law violates the First Amendment.[12] Despite serving as the state's attorney general, Paxton declined to defend the law in court, drawing criticism from those who argued he would gain electorally from a closed primary.[13]

Candidates

Advanced to runoff

  • John Cornyn, incumbent U.S. senator (2002–present)[14]
  • Ken Paxton, attorney general of Texas (2015–present)[15]

Eliminated in primary

  • John Adefope[16]
  • Anna Bender, IT analyst[16][17]
  • Virgil Bierschwale, software developer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[18][19]
  • Sara Canady, former Wilson County Justice of the Peace and candidate for Texas's 15th congressional district in 2022[16][17]
  • Wesley Hunt, U.S. representative from Texas's 38th congressional district (2023–present)[20] (endorsed Paxton)[21]
  • Gulrez "Gus" Khan, entrepreneur, candidate for Texas's 32nd congressional district in 2024, and candidate for mayor of Lubbock in 2022[18][19]

Withdrawn

  • Alexander Duncan, police officer[22]
  • Rennie Mann, president of the Richland Springs school board[16][23]
  • Barrett McNabb, chiropractic business owner (ran for U.S. House)[24]
  • Tony Schmoker, realtor[16][18]
  • Leo Wyatt[16][18]

Endorsements

John Cornyn

Executive branch officials

  • Susan Combs, former U.S. assistant secretary of the interior (2019–2020)[25]
  • Donald Evans, former U.S. secretary of commerce (2001–2005)[26]
  • Kay Bailey Hutchison, former U.S. ambassador to NATO (2017–2021)[27]
  • Rick Perry, former U.S. secretary of energy (2017–2019) and governor of Texas (2000–2015)[28]
  • Mike Pompeo, former U.S. secretary of state (2018–2021)[29][n 1]
  • Pamela Willeford, former U.S. ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein (2003–2006)[25]

U.S. senators

  • John Barrasso, Senate majority whip (2025–present) from Wyoming (2007–present)[30]
  • Marsha Blackburn, Tennessee (2019–present)[30]
  • Katie Britt, Alabama (2023–present)[31]
  • Tom Cotton, Arkansas (2015–present)[30]
  • Steve Daines, Montana (2015–present)[32]
  • Phil Gramm, former Texas (1985–2002)[33]
  • Bill Hagerty, Tennessee (2021–present)[34]
  • John Hoeven, North Dakota (2011–present)[35]
  • Lindsey Graham, South Carolina (2003–present)[31]
  • Mike Lee, Utah (2011–present)[36]
  • Rand Paul, Kentucky (2011–present)[30]
  • Pete Ricketts, Nebraska (2023–present)[32]
  • Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[34]
  • Tim Scott, South Carolina (2013–present)[32]
  • Tim Sheehy, Montana (2025–present)[32]
  • John Thune, Senate majority leader (2025–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)[37]
  • Tommy Tuberville, Alabama (2021–present)[30]

U.S. representatives

  • Bill Archer, former TX-07 (1971–2001)[38]
  • Joe Barton, former TX-06 (1985–2019)[39]
  • Henry Bonilla, former TX-23 (1993–2007)[38]
  • Kevin Brady, former TX-08 (1997–2023)[38]
  • Michael Burgess, former TX-26 (2003–2025)[38]
  • Quico Canseco, former TX-23 (2011–2013)[38]
  • Mike Conaway, former TX-11 (2005–2021)[38]
  • John Culberson, former TX-07 (2001–2019)[38]
  • Tom DeLay, former House majority leader (2003–2005) from TX-22 (1985–2006)[38]
  • Jake Ellzey, TX-06 (2021–present)[40]
  • Bill Flores, former TX-17 (2011–2021)[38]
  • Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the House (1995–1999) from GA-06 (1979–1999)[41][n 1]
  • Louie Gohmert, former TX-01 (2005–2023)[39][n 1]
  • Craig Goldman, TX-12 (2025–present)[42]
  • Jeb Hensarling, former TX-05 (2003–2019)[38]
  • French Hill, AR-02 (2015–present)[30]
  • Kenny Marchant, former TX-24 (2005–2021)[38]
  • Michael McCaul, TX-10 (2005–present)[25]
  • Nathaniel Moran, TX-01 (2023–present)[43][n 1]
  • Pete Olson, former TX-22 (2009–2021)[38]
  • Ted Poe, former TX-02 (2005–2019)[38]
  • Pete Sessions, TX-17 (2021–present) and former TX-32 (1997–2019)[43][n 1]
  • Lamar Smith, former TX-21 (1987–2019)[38]
  • Mac Thornberry, former TX-13 (1995–2021)[38]
  • Randy Weber, TX-14 (2013–present)[43][n 1]
  • Roger Williams, TX-25 (2013–present)[43][n 1]

Statewide officials

  • Jeffrey S. Boyd, former justice of the Texas Supreme Court (2012–2025)[25]
  • Harriet O'Neill, former justice of the Texas Supreme Court (1999–2010)[25]

State legislators

  • Charles Perry, president pro tempore of the Texas Senate (2025–present) from SD-28 (2014–present)[43][n 1]
  • Robert Nichols, SD-03 (2007–present)[43][n 1]
  • 14 current state representatives[a]
  • 9 former state representatives[b]

Local officials

  • Jim Darling, former mayor of McAllen (2013–2021) (Democratic)[47]
  • J.E. "Eddie" Guerra, sheriff of Hidalgo County (2014–present) (Democratic)[48]
  • Mattie Parker, mayor of Fort Worth (2021–present)[49]
  • Dan Pope, former mayor of Lubbock (2016–2022)[45]
  • Betsy Price, former mayor of Fort Worth (2011–2021)[49]
  • Pete Saenz, former mayor of Laredo (2014–2022) (Democratic)[47]
  • Javier Villalobos, mayor of McAllen (2021–present)[47]

Individuals

  • Ayaan Hirsi Ali, conservative activist and former member of the Dutch House of Representatives (2003–2006)[50]
  • Max Lucado, pastor[51]
  • Jim McIngvale, businessman[52]

Labor unions

  • Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas[53]
  • Dallas Police Association[39]
  • National Border Patrol Council[34]
  • Seafarers International Union-AGLIWD[54][n 1]

Organizations

  • AIPAC[55]
  • American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons[56]
  • American Ambulance Association[56]
  • ClearPath Foundation[57]
  • Independent Bankers Association of Texas[58]
  • National Federation of Independent Business[59]
  • National Association of Realtors[60]
  • National Association of Home Builders[61]
  • National Republican Senatorial Committee[62]
  • Republican Jewish Coalition[63]
  • Senate Leadership Fund[32]
  • Texas Alliance for Life[64]
  • Texas Association of Manufacturers[61]
  • Texas Association of Realtors[60]
  • Texas Chemistry Council[61]
  • Texas Farm Bureau[65]
  • Texas Homebuilders Association[61]
  • Texas Medical Association[66]
  • Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association[65]
  • United States Chamber of Commerce[67]

Newspapers

Ken Paxton

Executive branch officials

  • Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[73][n 1]
  • Steve Bannon, former senior counselor to the president (2017)[74]

U.S. representatives

  • Eric Burlison, MO-07 (2023–present)[39][n 1]
  • Eli Crane, AZ-02 (2023–present)[39][n 1] (previously endorsed Hunt)[75]
  • Brandon Gill, TX-26 (2025–present)[76][n 1]
  • Lance Gooden, TX-05 (2019–present)[62]
  • Wesley Hunt, TX-38 (2023–present) and former candidate for this seat[21][n 1]
  • Troy Nehls, TX-22 (2021–present)[62]
  • Burgess Owens, UT-04 (2021–present)[77][n 1]

State legislators

  • 2 state senators[c]
  • 17 state representatives[d]
  • Matt Rinaldi, former HD-115 (2015–2019) and chair of the Texas Republican Party (2021–2024)[79]
  • Anthony Kern, former Arizona's SD-27 (2023–2025)[80]

Individuals

  • Dan K. Eberhart, businessman[81]
  • Laura Loomer, political activist and conspiracy theorist[74]
  • Ted Nugent, guitarist[82]
  • John Rich, singer[83][better source needed]
  • Randy Quaid, actor[84]

Organizations

  • Conservative Political Action Conference[85][n 1]
  • Gun Owners of America[86]
  • Political Victory Fund[43][n 1]
  • Republicans for National Renewal[87]
  • Texas Gun Rights[88]
  • Turning Point Action[89]
Wesley Hunt

U.S. representatives

  • Eli Crane, AZ-02 (2023–present)[75] (endorsed Paxton in the runoff)[90]

Organizations

  • Austin Republican Liberty Caucus[91]
Declined to endorse

U.S. senators

  • Ted Cruz, Texas (2013–present)[34]

U.S. representatives

  • Brian Babin, TX-36 (2015–present)[30]
  • Keith Self, TX-03 (2023–present)[30]

Statewide officials

  • Greg Abbott, governor of Texas (2015–present)[92]

Labor unions

First round

Campaign

Paxton led Cornyn in early polling both before and after entering the race, though concerns about his general election viability persist, as polls show him underperforming Cornyn and, in some cases, trailing hypothetical Democratic opponents.[94] This led many Republicans to back Cornyn, as Senate GOP leaders pressed Trump for an endorsement.[95] Cornyn told The Wall Street Journal in June 2025 that he would consider stepping aside if a stronger candidate emerged to defeat Paxton, but he quickly walked back the comment, stating he would remain in the race.[96] Congressman Wesley Hunt entered the race in late 2025, further scrambling the race and increased the chance of a runoff.[97]

All three candidates competed for the endorsement of Donald Trump, having made support for him and his agenda central to their campaigns; however, Trump declined to back a single candidate, instead stating he supports "all three".[98][99] Cornyn had maintained a substantial fundraising lead over the other candidates throughout the race, spending much of it attacking Paxton.[100] The early three-way polling had been very narrow, usually with Cornyn and Paxton making the runoff and no candidate close to winning outright.[101] While campaigning, all three tapped into Islamophobic sentiment in their advertisements and actions, with Cornyn and Paxton having targeted the EPIC City development in Collin County with investigations and lawsuits.[102][103][104]

Fundraising

Candidates in italics withdrew before the primary election took place.

Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026[A]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Virgil Bierschwale (R) $9,988 $9,657 $331
Sara Canady (R) $770 $7,061 $0
John Cornyn (R) $11,155,399 $6,816,042 $4,972,818
Wesley Hunt (R) $1,971,633 $4,116,502 $342,307
Gulrez Khan (R) $10,443 $10,964 $0
Ken Paxton (R) $5,857,093 $1,925,816 $3,931,277
Tony Schmoker (R) $2,500 $3,107 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[105]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 John
Cornyn		 Wesley
Hunt		 Ken
Paxton		 Other/Undecided
[e]		 Margin
FiftyPlusOne[106] through February 27, 2026 March 3, 2026 29.5% 21.2% 35.6% 13.7% Paxton +6.1%
270toWin[107] February 25 – March 2, 2026 March 3, 2026 35.2% 17.5% 38.7% 8.6% Paxton +3.5%
RealClearPolitics[108] February 13–27, 2026 March 2, 2026 35.4% 15.8% 39.2% 9.6% Paxton +3.8%
Decision Desk HQ[109] through February 27, 2026 March 2, 2026 35.4% 16.5% 38.9% 9.2% Paxton +3.5%
Race to the WH[110] through February 27, 2026 March 2, 2026 32.9% 17.4% 37.2% 12.5% Paxton +5.7%
Average 33.7% 17.7% 37.9% 10.7% Paxton +4.2%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn		 Wesley
Hunt		 Ken
Paxton		 Other Undecided
YouGov[111] February 26 – March 2, 2026 1,659 (LV) ± 2.8% 32% 17% 36% 2%[g] 13%
Emerson College[112] February 26–27, 2026 547 (LV) ± 4.1% 36% 17% 40% 8%[h] –
Quantus Insights (R)[113] February 25–26, 2026 939 (LV) ± 3.1% 38% 16% 43% – 3%
Victory Phones (R)[114][B] February 24–25, 2026 600 (LV) – 30% 15% 39% – 16%
Blueprint Polling (D)[115] February 23–24, 2026 529 (LV) ± 5.3% 30% 14% 42% 1%[i] 13%
Peak Insights (R)[116][C] February 19–23, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 14% 36% 15%
UT Tyler[117] February 13–22, 2026 – (LV) – 41% 15% 35% – 9%
– (RV) 39% 19% 33% –
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project[118] February 2–16, 2026 350 (RV) ± 5.2% 34% 26% 36% 3%[j] –
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119][B] February 9–12, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 29% 26% 36% – 9%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[120][D] February 8–11, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 27% 15% 36% – 22%
Peak Insights (R)[116][C] February 3–8, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 29% 25% 31% – 15%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[121][E] February 1–3, 2026 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 26% 18% 34% – 22%
J.L. Partners (R)[122] January 31 – February 3, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 26% 26% 27% – 21%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[123][C] January 29 – February 1, 2026 – (LV) – 31% 24% 29% – 16%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 31% 17% 38% 2%[k] 12%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.1% 26% 16% 27% 2%[l] 29%
Harper Polling (R)[126][B] January 5–7, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 26% 23% 31% – 20%
Deep Root Analytics (R)[123][C] January 5–11, 2026 – (LV) – 29% 19% 26% – 26%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[127][F] December 14–17, 2025 809 (LV) ± 3.4% 38% 16% 38% – 8%
1892 Polling (R)[123][C] December 4, 2025 – (LV) – 28% 19% 29% – 24%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[128][G] December 1–4, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 27% 28% 33% – 12%
J.L. Partners[129] December 1–3, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 24% 24% 29% – 23%
co/efficient (R)[130] December 1–3, 2025 1,022 (LV) ± 3.07% 28% 19% 27% – 26%
Public Policy Polling (D)[131][H] December 1–2, 2025 527 (LV) – 22% 22% 32% – 24%
Peak Insights (R)[132][C] November 20–25, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 18% 33% – 14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[133][I] November 21–22, 2025 857 (LV) ± 3.3% 25% 26% 36% – 13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[134][J] November 13–16, 2025 758 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 21% 31% – 16%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] November 4–6, 2025 811 (LV) ± 4.6% 27% 26% 34% – 13%
Harper Polling (R)[136][B] October 28–30, 2025 614 (LV) ± 4.0% 26% 24% 25% – 25%
Hunt Research (R)[42][137] October 6–10, 2025 1,097 (LV) ± 2.96% 24% 19% 28% – 29%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] October 4–6, 2025 – (V) – 31% 24% 34% – 11%
Peak Insights (R)[132][C] October 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 19% 36% – 11%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 33% 22% 34% – 11%
Deep Root Analytics (R)[139][C] September 22–28, 2025 1,142 (LV) – 33% 21% 28% – 18%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 492 (RV) ± 3.1% 29% 14% 31% – 26%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[141][K] September 20–22, 2025 760 (LV) ± 3.6% 32% 17% 31% – 20%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[142][I] September 14–16, 2025 842 (V) – 28% 23% 38% – 11%
38% 23% 39% –
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] August 24–26, 2025 – (V) – 28% 23% 38% – 11%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] August 4–6, 2025 – (V) – 29% 23% 37% – 11%
Texas Southern University[143] August 6–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 30% 22% 35% – 13%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] July 16–18, 2025 – (V) – 32% 15% 38% 15% –
G1 Research[144] Late June 2025 – – 28% 17% 41% – 14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] June 22–23, 2025 – (V) – 28% 17% 41% – 14%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[145][146][F] June 17–22, 2025 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 32% 13% 49% – 7%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] June 8–10, 2025 – (V) – 28% 12% 47% – 13%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 27% 15% 34% – 24%
Quantus Insights (R)[148][149][L] May 11–13, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.4% 38% 16% 46% –
American Opportunity Alliance (R)[150][151] April 29 – May 1, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 27% 14% 43% – 16%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] April 29–30, 2025 – (V) – 27% 18% 40% – 15%
The Tarrance Group (R)[152][J] April 27 – May 1, 2025 – – 34% 19% 44% –
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] April 15–17, 2025 – (V) – 26% 18% 42% – 14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] March 23–25, 2025 – (V) – 26% 13% 46% – 15%
Hypothetical polling

John Cornyn vs. Ronny Jackson vs. Chip Roy

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn		 Ronny
Jackson		 Chip
Roy		 Undecided
CWS Research (R)[153][M] October 19–23, 2022 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 35% 14% 18% 33%

John Cornyn vs. "Someone Else"

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn		 Someone
Else		 Undecided
Victory Insights (R)[154] January 4–6, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 40% 25%

Results

Results by county
  Cornyn
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Paxton
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 910,382 42.0
Republican Ken Paxton 878,564 40.5
Republican Wesley Hunt 293,250 13.5
Republican Sara Canady 26,355 1.2
Republican Anna Bender 24,167 1.1
Republican Gulrez Khan 15,873 0.7
Republican John Adefope 9,284 0.4
Republican Virgil Bierschwale 9,035 0.4
Total votes 2,166,910 100.0

Cornyn led Paxton narrowly in the primary election, garnering 41.9% of the vote to Paxton's 40.7%, while Hunt placed a distant third with 13.5% of the vote.[155] Support for Cornyn and Paxton was relatively evenly spread across the state, though Cornyn performed slightly better in urban areas, especially Dallas and Austin, while Paxton performed slightly better in rural areas, particularly in East Texas.[156] Hunt performed slightly better in regions which backed Paxton, suggesting his presence on the ballot hurt Cornyn more than Paxton. Even in Hunt's own congressional district, he came in third with barely over 20% of the vote.[157]

In the days leading up to the March 3 primary, Paxton suggested he could win outright and avoid a runoff. However, Cornyn overperformed expectations in what The Texas Tribune described as a "better-than-expected showing". Rolando Garcia, a member of the State Republican Executive Committee who supported Hunt in the primary but plans to back Paxton in the runoff, said the result should alarm the Paxton campaign.[158] On March 5, The Atlantic reported that Trump advisers expected the president to endorse Cornyn in the runoff election after his unexpectedly strong performance in the first round of voting.[159]

Runoff

Campaign

Despite speculation following his first-place primary finish that Trump would endorse Cornyn, Trump did not endorse either candidate by the March 17 withdrawal deadline. Republicans had hoped the non-endorsed candidate would exit to avoid a costly runoff and allow the nominee to focus on the general election. However, Paxton refused to withdraw unless the Senate eliminated the filibuster to pass the SAVE America Act. Meanwhile, Cornyn, previously a staunch defender of the filibuster, signaled openness to reforming or bypassing it, as Trump indicated his endorsement could hinge on the bill's passage.[160][161]

Political observers have described the runoff campaign between Paxton and Cornyn as "vile" and "brutal," featuring almost exclusively negative advertising from both sides.[162][163] Cornyn has repeatedly attacked Paxton's character, especially regarding alleged infidelity towards his wife, state senator Angela Paxton, who had filed for divorce on "biblical grounds," and compared his ethics to that of a "strip club owner."[164][165] He has also highlighted the political scandals that have plagued Paxton's career, including his 2023 impeachment by the Texas House of Representatives, framing him as corrupt and unfit for political office.[166] Paxton has continued to frame Cornyn as insufficiently loyal to Donald Trump.[165][167] His office has also drawn scrutiny over a sharp increase in publicly-announced lawsuits made in his capacity as attorney general since announcing his Senate run and especially in the months immediately before the March primary. A sizeable number of these actions focus on issues salient to conservative voters, including immigration, Islam, DEI, student protests, and elections, drawing accusations that he is using his office to energize his voter base and boost his campaign ahead of the runoff.[168]

The runoff has significantly fractured both the Republican electorate and officeholders in the state, many of whom worry that the money spent and political attacks exchanged during the contest could benefit Democratic nominee James Talarico. Talarico won his primary outright, avoiding a runoff and allowing him to shift his focus to the general election early.[163][169] Lieutenant governor Dan Patrick even warned that a depressed Republican turnout could jeopardize Republican control of the Texas House, though most others dismissed that as extremely unlikely, with many Republicans still expressing confidence both Paxton and Cornyn could win the general election.[170][171][172] Both candidates continued to court Trump's endorsement to consolidate support from the party, but Trump remained neutral in the race over two months after initially signaling his intention to endorse one of them.[173] This jockeying has included policy-related moves as well as superficial ones, such as a bill introduced by Cornyn to designate U.S. Route 287 as Interstate 47 to honor Trump.[174]

On May 19, one week before the runoff, Trump announced his endorsement of Ken Paxton.[175] U.S. Representative Wesley Hunt, who finished third in the first round primary, also endorsed Paxton that day.[21]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 6, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Cornyn (R) $13,574,708 $10,130,088 $4,078,081
Ken Paxton (R) $7,600,511 $5,257,561 $2,342,950
Source: Federal Election Commission[176]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn		 Ken
Paxton		 Other Undecided
SoCal Strategies (R)[177] May 20–21, 2026 700 (LV) – 35% 57% – 8%
May 19, 2026 Trump and Hunt endorse Paxton
Global Strategy Group (D)[178][N] May 6–11, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 52% – 8%
Remington Research Group (R)[179][E] May 3–5, 2026 1,810 (LV) ± 2.6% 36% 47% – 17%
Peak Insights (R)[180][C] May 2–5, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 7%
University of Houston[181] April 28 – May 1, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 48% – 7%
co/efficient (R)[182] April 11–14, 2026 1,143 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 43% – 13%
Peak Insights (R)[183][C] April 6–9, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% – 13%
Texas Public Opinion Research[184] April 6–7, 2026 1,225 (LV) ± 3.2% 40% 48% – 11%
Quantus Insights (R)[185] March 21–23, 2026 1,218 (LV) ± 2.8% 41% 49% – 10%
GQR (D)[186][H] March 19–23, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% – 11%
Change Research (D)[187] March 17–19, 2026 807 (RV) ± 3.5% 39% 42% – 19%
Impact Research (D)[188][O] March 12–17, 2026 – (LV) – 37% 53% – 10%
Peak Insights (R)[189][C] March 9–12, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% – 10%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[190][P] March 7–8, 2026 781 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% 49% – 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[191][Q] March 5–6, 2026 565 (LV) ± 4.1% 42% 45% – 12%
March 3, 2026 Cornyn and Paxton advance to runoff
Peak Insights (R)[189][C] February 23–26, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% – 9%
Peak Insights (R)[189][C] February 22–25, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 46% – 10%
Blueprint Polling (D)[115] February 23–24, 2026 529 (LV) ± 5.3% 36% 49% – 15%
Peak Insights (R)[189][C] February 21–24, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 47% – 10%
Peak Insights (R)[189][C] February 19–23, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 49% – 9%
Peak Insights (R)[189][C] February 16–19, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 50% – 11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119][B] February 9–12, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 38% 50% – 12%
J.L. Partners (R)[122] January 31 – February 3, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 41% – 19%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 40% 51% – 9%
Harper Polling (R)[126][B] January 5–7, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 44% – 23%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[128][G] December 1–4, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 44% – 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[131][H] December 1–2, 2025 527 (LV) – 34% 44% – 22%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[134][J] November 13–16, 2025 758 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 41% – 14%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] November 4–6, 2025 811 (LV) ± 4.6% 38% 46% – 16%
Harper Polling (R)[136][B] October 28–30, 2025 614 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 39% – 25%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] October 4–6, 2025 – (V) – 43% 46% – 11%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 44% 43% – 13%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 493 (RV) – 39% 37% – 23%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[141][K] September 20–22, 2025 – (V) ± 3.6% 39% 39% – 22%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] September 14–16, 2025 – (V) – 44% 44% – 12%
Texas Public Opinion Research[193] August 27–29, 2025 320 (RV) – 32% 26% 13%[m] 29%
co/efficient (R)[194] August 25–27, 2025 818 (LV) ± 3.4% 36% 39% – 25%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] August 24–26, 2025 – (V) – 41% 48% – 11%
Echelon Insights[195] August 21–24, 2025 515 (LV) ± 4.5% 37% 42% – 21%
Emerson College[196] August 11–12, 2025 491 (RV) ± 4.4% 30% 29% 5%[n] 36%
Texas Southern University[143] August 6–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 39% 44% – 17%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] August 4–6, 2025 – (V) – 42% 45% – 13%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] July 16–18, 2025 – (V) – 36% 47% – 17%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[145][146][F] June 17–22, 2025 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 38% 57% – 5%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] June 8–10, 2025 – (V) – 33% 49% – 18%
UT Tyler[197] May 28 – June 7, 2025 538 (RV) – 34% 44% – 22%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[198][199][R] June 6–8, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 49% – 18%
UpONE Insights (R)[200][201][S] May 27–28, 2025 600 (V) ± 4.0% 28% 50% – 21%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 34% 43% – 23%
Quantus Insights (R)[148][149][L] May 11–13, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.4% 39% 52% – 9%
American Opportunity Alliance (R)[150][151] April 29 – May 1, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 35% 52% – 13%
The Tarrance Group (R)[152][J] April 27 – May 1, 2025 – – 40% 56% – –
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] April 29–30, 2025 – (V) – 33% 48% – 19%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] April 15–17, 2025 – (V) – 33% 50% – 17%
Internal Republican Party poll[202] Mid–April 2025 605 (V) – 33% 50% – 17%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[135][I] March 23–25, 2025 – (V) – 35% 52% – 13%
Lake Research Partners (D)/
Slingshot Strategies (D)[203][P]		 March 7–10, 2025 – (RV) – 27% 38% 19%[o] 16%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[204] January 28 – February 2, 2025 – (V) – 28% 53% – 19%
Victory Insights (R)[154] January 4–6, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 42% – 25%
CWS Research (R)[205][M] July 9–10, 2022 1,918 (RV) ± 2.2% 31% 51% – 18%
Hypothetical runoff polling

John Cornyn vs. Wesley Hunt

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn		 Wesley
Hunt		 Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D)[115] February 23–24, 2026 529 (LV) ± 5.3% 42% 37% 21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119][B] February 9–12, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 38% 48% 25%
J.L. Partners (R)[122] January 31 – February 3, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 44% 23%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 39% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[128][G] December 1–4, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 35% 50% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[131][H] December 1–2, 2025 527 (LV) – 28% 45% 27%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 34% 16%
Stratus Intelligence (R)[142][I] September 14–16, 2025 842 (V) – 37% 46% 17%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 39% 31% 30%

Ken Paxton vs. Wesley Hunt

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton		 Wesley
Hunt		 Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D)[115] February 23–24, 2026 529 (LV) ± 5.3% 53% 29% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119][B] February 9–12, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 42% 14%
J.L. Partners (R)[122] January 31 – February 3, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 44% 22%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 56% 33% 11%
Harper Polling (R)[126][B] January 5–7, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 33% 23%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[128][G] December 1–4, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 39% 45% 16%
Harper Polling (R)[136][B] October 28–30, 2025 614 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 34% 28%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 576 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 35% 15%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 25% 30%

Results

Republican primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent)
Republican Ken Paxton
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Background

Democrats, who have not won a statewide election in Texas since 1994, see an opening in the state due to the bitter and divisive primary fight in the Republican side, a potential midterm backlash against the Trump administration, negative approval ratings for President Trump in Texas as well as recent polling numbers showing competitive matchups.[206][207][208][209]

Colin Allred, who unsuccessfully ran against incumbent Republican senator Ted Cruz in 2024, exited the race on December 8, 2025, which precipitated Jasmine Crockett's entry into the race.[210]

Campaign

A Talarico rally at The Backyard in San Antonio

Crockett entered the race with high name recognition and strong polling numbers, but her launch on the last day to file meant she had limited time for campaigning statewide.[211] According to polling data in February 2026 prior to the primaries, Crockett originally had a favorability percentage of 23%, and an unfavorable percentage of 25% while Talarico came in at 18% favorable and 9% unfavorable.[212][213] She did not hire a campaign manager and focused on advertising over a staffed field operation.[214]

Crockett and Talarico participated in a debate on January 24, 2026, hosted by the AFL-CIO in Georgetown. During the debate, both candidates largely aligned on policy and engaged in limited direct attacks. Crockett defended her "firebrand" style as necessary for the political moment, while Talarico emphasized a more measured approach and his perceived electability against Ken Paxton.[215] Talarico later faced controversy after a social media influencer alleged he had referred to former rival Colin Allred as a "mediocre Black man" in comparison to Crockett in a private conversation; Talarico disputed the claim as a mischaracterization. Allred subsequently endorsed Crockett and criticized Talarico.[216] The episode further exposed the racial tension between each candidate's base of support, with Crockett performing best among Black voters, Democrats' strongest voter base, and Talarico performing best among White and Latino voters, demographics which hold far more swing voters.[217]

On February 16, Talarico was scheduled to appear on The Late Show with Stephen Colbert. According to Colbert, however, CBS did not allow him to air the interview nor mention the cancellation on-air based on a recently revised interpretation of the FCC's equal-time rule, although he discussed it anyway during that night's episode in spite of FCC threats. Colbert later posted the interview to the show's YouTube page.[218] The interview gained millions of views online, while Talarico fundraised $2.5 million in the aftermath and increased his name recognition as early voting began ahead of the March 3 primary. Analysts largely viewed the campaign as one based on personality and electability rather than ideology.[219]

After the primary, Crockett conceded to Talarico,[220] but did not endorse him.[221]

Candidates

Nominee

  • James Talarico, state representative from the 50th district (2018–present)[222]

Eliminated in primary

  • Jasmine Crockett, U.S. representative from Texas's 30th congressional district (2023–present)[223]
  • Ahmad R. Hassan, real estate broker, attorney and perennial candidate[16][17]

Withdrawn

  • Colin Allred, former U.S. representative from Texas's 32nd congressional district (2019–2025) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024 (running for U.S. House, endorsed Crockett)[224][216]
  • Emily Morgul, administrative assistant[225][16]
  • Michael Swanson, waiter[225][16]
  • Terry Virts, retired United States Air Force pilot and NASA astronaut (ran for U.S. House)[226]
  • Paula Williams, realtor[227][16]

Declined

  • Joaquin Castro, U.S. representative from Texas's 20th congressional district (2013–present) (running for re-election)[228]
  • Veronica Escobar, U.S. representative from Texas's 16th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[229]
  • Clay Jenkins, Dallas County judge[p] (2011–present)[230]
  • Marc Veasey, U.S. representative from Texas's 33rd congressional district (2013–present)[231] (endorsed Allred)[232]

Endorsements

Jasmine Crockett

Executive branch officials

  • Kamala Harris, former vice president of the United States (2021–2025)[233]

U.S. senators

  • Angela Alsobrooks, Maryland (2025–present)[234]

U.S. representatives

  • Colin Allred, former TX-32 (2019–2025), 2024 senate nominee[216]
  • Ro Khanna, CA-17 (2017–present)[235]
  • Adelita Grijalva, AZ-7 (2025–present)[236]
  • Christian Menefee, TX-18, (2026–present)[236]
  • LaMonica McIver, NJ-10 (2024–present)[237]
  • Ayanna Pressley, MA-7 (2019–present)[235]
  • Bonnie Watson Coleman, NJ-12 (2015–present)[237]

State legislators

  • Rodney Ellis, former SD-13 (1990–2017)[238]
  • Barbara Gervin-Hawkins, HD-120 (2017–present) (previously endorsed Allred)[238]
  • Christian Manuel, HD-22 (2023–present) (previously endorsed Talarico)[238]

Local officials

  • Ras Baraka, mayor of Newark (2014–present)[237]

Individuals

  • Cardi B, rapper[239]
  • Kelly Rowland, singer-songwriter[239]
  • Method Man, rapper[240]
  • Kerry Washington, actress[239]

Labor unions

  • Service Employees International Union Texas[241]

Organizations

Newspapers

James Talarico

U.S. senators

  • Martin Heinrich, New Mexico (2013–present)[242]

U.S. representatives

  • Julie Johnson, TX-32 (2025–present)[247]

Statewide officials

  • 4 members of the Texas State Board of Education[247][248]

State legislators

  • Sarah Eckhardt, SD-14 (2021–present)[247]
  • Roland Gutierrez,SD-19 (2021–present)[247]
  • 28 state representatives[q]
  • Christian Manuel, HD-22 (2023–present)[248] (switched endorsement to Crockett)[238]

Individuals

  • Olivia Julianna, political activist[249]
  • Bobby Pulido, Tejano musician and Democratic candidate for TX-15 in 2026[250]

Labor unions

  • Southern Regional Council of Carpenters[251]

Organizations

  • Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus[45]
  • State Tejano Democrats[252]
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee[253]
  • Texas A&M College Democrats[254]
  • University of Texas at Austin College Democrats[254]
  • College Democrats of America[255]
  • High School Democrats of America[256]

Newspapers

Colin Allred (withdrawn)

Executive branch officials

  • Ron Kirk, former U.S. trade representative (2009–2013)[262]

U.S. representatives

  • Lizzie Fletcher, TX-07 (2019–present)[263]
  • Sanford Bishop, GA-02 (1993–present)[232]
  • Yvette Clarke, NY-09 (2007–present)[232]
  • Steven Horsford, NV-04 (2013–2015, 2019–present)[232]
  • Gregory Meeks, NY-05 (1998–present)[232]
  • Joe Neguse, CO-02 (2019–present)[232]
  • Lauren Underwood, IL-14 (2019–present)[232]
  • Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)[232]

State legislators

  • Alma Allen, HD-131 (2005–present)[264]
  • Rhetta Bowers, HD-113 (2019–present)[248]
  • Barbara Gervin-Hawkins, HD-120 (2017–present)[264] (endorsed Crockett after Allred withdrew)[238]
  • Toni Rose, HD-110 (2013–present)[264](endorsed Talarico in the general election)[265]
  • Venton Jones, HD-100 (2023–present)[264]
Declined to endorse

U.S. representatives

  • Beto O'Rourke, former TX-16 (2013–2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[266] (endorsed Talarico in the general election)[267]

Labor unions

  • Texas AFL-CIO[93] (endorsed Talarico in the general election)[268]

Debates

2026 Texas Democratic Senate primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Crockett Hassan Talarico
1[269] January 24, 2026 Texas AFL-CIO Daniel Marin
Gromer Jeffers		 KXAN-TV P N P

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of February 11, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jasmine Crockett (D) $8,577,757 $5,092,872 $3,484,885
James Talarico (D) $20,694,809 $15,906,718 $4,788,090
Source: Federal Election Commission[105]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Jasmine
Crockett		 James
Talarico		 Other/Undecided
[r]		 Margin
FiftyPlusOne[270] through February 27, 2026 March 2, 2026 45.7% 46.2% 8.1% Talarico +0.5%
270toWin[107] February 9 – March 1, 2026 March 2, 2026 47.6% 47.6% 4.8% Tied
Race to the WH[110] through February 27, 2026 March 2, 2026 44.4% 49.1% 6.5% Talarico +4.7%
VoteHub[271] through February 27, 2026 March 2, 2026 45.5% 45.9% 8.6% Talarico +0.4%
Decision Desk HQ[272] through February 27, 2026 March 2, 2026 45.6% 48.5% 8.6% Talarico +2.9%
Average 45.76% 47.46% 7.4% Talarico +1.14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Colin
Allred		 Jasmine
Crockett		 James
Talarico		 Other Undecided
YouGov[111] February 26 – March 2, 2026 2,408 (LV) ± 2.7% – 40% 53% 0%[s] 7%
Emerson College[112] February 26–27, 2026 850 (LV) ± 3.3% – 47% 52% 1%[t] –
Public Policy Polling (D)[273][T] February 25, 2026 599 (LV) ± 4.0% – 42% 48% 0%[u] 10%
Blueprint Polling (D)[115] February 23–24, 2026 472 (LV) ± 4.5% – 40% 52% 2%[v] 6%
UT Tyler[117] February 13–22, 2026 488 (LV) – – 55% 37% 4%[w] 4%
548 (RV) – 56% 34% 7%[x] 3%
University of Texas/
Texas Politics Project[118]		 February 2–16, 2026 369 (RV) ± 5.1% – 56% 44% –
Impact Research (D)[274][O] February 10–12, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% – 43% 47% 10%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.2% – 47% 39% 2%[y] 12%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[275][P] January 14–21, 2026 1,290 (LV) ± 3.7% – 38% 37% 4%[z] 21%
HIT Strategies (D)[276][U] January 6–15, 2026 1,005 (LV) ± 3.2% – 46% 33% – 21%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 413 (LV) ± 4.8% – 38% 47% <1%[aa] 15%
Texas Southern University[277] December 9–11, 2025 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% – 51% 43% – 6%
December 8, 2025 Allred withdraws from the race
Impact Research (D)[274][O] December 3–4, 2025 – (LV) – – 52% 35% 13%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 478 (RV) ± 4.5% – 52% 34% – 14%
46% – 42% – 8%
Impact Research (D)[278][O] October 23–29, 2025 836 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% – 48% – 9%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 377 (RV) – 42% – 30% 4%[ab] 24%
Public Policy Polling (D)[279] September 3–4, 2025 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% – 32% – 27%
Emerson College[196] August 11–12, 2025 370 (RV) ± 5.1% 58% – – 8%[ac] 34%
Texas Southern University[143] August 6–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% – 43% – 7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Colin
Allred		 James
Talarico		 Joaquin
Castro		 Jasmine
Crockett		 Beto
O'Rourke		 Other Undecided
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 478 (RV) ± 4.5% 13% 25% – 31% 25% – 6%
34% – – 57% – – 9%
38% – – – 55% – 7%
– – – 51% 41% – 8%
39% – – 54% – 7%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 377 (RV) – 25% – 13% 29% 31% 2%[ad] –
Texas Public Opinion Research[193] August 27–29, 2025 270 (RV) – 13% 7% 4% 26% 27% 5%[ae] 18%
Texas Southern University[143] August 6–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 38% – – – 58% – 4%
52% – – 41% – – 7%
NRSC (R)[280] July 4–7, 2025 566 (LV) ± 3.0% 20% – 13% 35% 13% – 18%

Results

Results by county
  Talarico
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Crockett
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Talarico/Crockett Tie
  •   40–50%
  •   50%
  Talarico/Hassan Tie
  •   50%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic James Talarico 1,216,412 52.4
Democratic Jasmine Crockett 1,071,900 46.2
Democratic Ahmad Hassan 30,875 1.3
Total votes 2,319,187 100.0

James Talarico won the Democratic primary with 52.4% of the vote.[281] After a dispute concerning voting hours in Dallas and Williamson Counties on the night of the primary, Crockett conceded the race on March 4.[282] The dispute in Dallas County arose from the county Republican Party's decision not to use countywide voting centers, where voters can cast ballots at any location, on Election Day, as Texas law requires both parties to agree in order to implement them.[283] On March 17, the Dallas County GOP announced it would use countywide voting centers for the runoff.[284]

Issues with a ballot scanning and tabulation machine in Newton County led to the county clerk writing in a court filing that its Democratic statewide primary results, with Hassan winning the county, were "skewed" and that a recount was required, which eventually had to be done by hand due to the scanning issues persisting,[285][286] with the revised results showing Crockett winning the county.

Democrats cast more primary votes in a midterm election than Republicans for the first time since 2002.[157] The results largely mirrored those of the 2020 primary for this seat, which also pitted a Black Democrat from Dallas (Royce West) against a White Democrat from the Austin area (M. J. Hegar). Crockett performed best among Black voters, winning by large margins in East Texas, as well as by smaller margins in the urban centers of Dallas and Harris counties. Talarico won the White and Hispanic vote, dominating in the Austin metro area, and winning the state's remaining rural areas, including the heavily-Hispanic Rio Grande Valley.[156]

Third-party and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party convention was held from April 10 to 12, 2026, in Abilene.[287] Ted Brown, the party's U.S. senate nominee in 2024, secured the nomination with 83 votes to Daniel "Mark" Sims's 39.[288]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated at convention

Green Party

Candidates

Withdrawn

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[293] Likely R April 23, 2026
The Cook Political Report[294] Likely R April 13, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[295] Likely R March 4, 2026
Race to the WH[296][297] Tossup May 15, 2026
The Economist[298][af] Tossup May 7, 2026
RealClearPolitics[299] Tossup May 19, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

James Talarico (D)

Executive branch officials

  • Kamala Harris, former vice president of the United States (2021–2025)[300]
  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017)[301]

U.S. senators

  • Chris Coons, Delaware (2010–present)[302]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand, New York (2009–present)[302]
  • Adam Schiff, California (2024–present)[302]
  • Chuck Schumer, Senate minority leader (2017–2021, 2025–present) from New York (1999–present)[302]

U.S. representatives

  • Colin Allred, former TX-32 (2019–2025), 2024 U.S. senate nominee and former candidate for this seat[303]
  • Beto O'Rourke, former TX-16 (2013–2019), 2018 U.S. senate nominee and 2022 gubernatorial nominee[267]

State legislators

  • Royce West, SD-23 (1993–present)[303]
  • Toni Rose, HD-110 (2013–present)[265]

Individuals

  • Matthew DeSarno, former FBI special agent[304]

Labor unions

  • American Federation of Teachers Texas[305]
  • Texas AFL-CIO[268]

Organizations

  • Our Revolution[306]
  • People for the American Way[307]

Newspapers and media

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nominee TBD
James Talarico (D) $40,284,109 $30,425,244 $9,858,865
Source: Federal Election Commission[176]

Polling

John Cornyn vs. James Talarico

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 John
Cornyn (R)		 James
Talarico (D)		 Other/Undecided[ag] Margin
Race to the WH[309] through May 6, 2026 May 19, 2026 41.3% 42.3% 16.4% Talarico +1.0%
270toWin[310] April 10 – May 6, 2026 May 19, 2026 39.7% 42.7% 17.6% Talarico +3.0%
RealClearPolitics[311] January 10 – May 6, 2026 May 19, 2026 42.3% 42.8% 14.9% Talarico +0.5%
Average 41.1% 42.6% 16.3% Talarico +1.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn (R)		 James
Talarico (D)		 Other Undecided
Texas Southern University[312] April 22 – May 6, 2026 1,223 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 3%[ah] 8%
Texas Public Opinion Research[313] April 17–20, 2026 1,018 (LV) ± 3.3% 41% 44% – 11%
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project[314] April 10–20, 2026 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8%[ai] 33% 40% 7%[aj] 19%[ak]
Impact Research (D)[188][O] March 12–17, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 41% 43% 7%[al] 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[315][H] March 4–5, 2026 576 (V) ± 4.1% 43% 44% – 13%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 1,502 (LV) ± 2.5% 44% 43% 5%[am] 8%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% – 9%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[316] November 12–17, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 40% – 14%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 45% – 7%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 1,032 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 35% 7%[aj] 17%

Ken Paxton vs. James Talarico

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Ken Paxton (R) James Talarico (D) Other/
Undecided[an]		 Margin
Race to the WH[309] through May 6, 2026 May 19, 2026 41.7% 43.9% 14.4% Talarico +2.2%
270toWin[310] April 10 – May 6, 2026 May 19, 2026 40.0% 44.3% 15.7% Talarico +4.3%
RealClearPolitics[311] January 10 – May 6, 2026 May 19, 2026 42.8% 43.3% 12.9% Talarico +1.5%
Average 41.5% 43.8% 14.7% Talarico +2.3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton (R)		 James
Talarico (D)		 Other Undecided
Texas Southern University[312] April 22 – May 6, 2026 1,223 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 45% 2%[ao] 8%
Texas Public Opinion Research[313] April 17–20, 2026 1,018 (LV) ± 3.3% 41% 46% – 9%
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project[314] April 10–20, 2026 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8%[ai] 34% 42% 5%[n] 19%[ak]
Impact Research (D)[188][O] March 12–17, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 44% 5%[am] 7%
Public Policy Polling (D)[315][H] March 4–5, 2026 576 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 47% – 8%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 1,502 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 44% 3%[ah] 7%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 46% – 9%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[316] November 12–17, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 44% – 12%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 46% – 5%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 1,032 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 37% 8%[ap] 17%
Hypothetical polling

John Cornyn vs. Jasmine Crockett

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn (R)		 Jasmine
Crockett (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 1,502 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 43% 5%[am] 7%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 43% – 9%
Change Research (D)[317] November 21–26, 2025 1,189 (V) ± 3.1% 49% 41% – 10%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 50% 44% – 6%

Ken Paxton vs. Jasmine Crockett

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton (R)		 Jasmine
Crockett (D)		 Other Undecided
Hart Research (D)[318][319][V] February 6–12, 2026 803 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% – 6%
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 1,502 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 43% 4%[aq] 8%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 46% – 9%
Change Research (D)[317] November 21–26, 2025 1,189 (V) ± 3.1% 50% 42% – 8%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 47% – 2%

John Cornyn vs. Colin Allred

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn (R)		 Colin
Allred (D)		 Other Undecided
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[316] November 12–17, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% – 13%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 46% – 6%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 1,032 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 37% 7%[aj] 13%
Emerson College[196] August 11–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 38% – 17%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 44% – 8%

Ken Paxton vs. Colin Allred

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton (R)		 Colin
Allred (D)		 Other Undecided
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[316] November 12–17, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 44% – 12%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 47% – 5%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 1,032 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 41% 8%[ap] 13%
GBAO (D)[320][W] August 13–18, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% – 4%
49% 50%[ar] – –
Emerson College[196] August 11–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 41% – 13%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 46% – 6%
Brad Parscale (R)[202] Mid–April 2025 >1,000 (LV) – 37% 52% – 11%

Wesley Hunt vs. Colin Allred

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Wesley
Hunt (R)		 Colin
Allred (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 50% 45% – 5%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 1,032 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 37% 6%[as] 19%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% – 9%

Wesley Hunt vs. Jasmine Crockett

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Wesley
Hunt (R)		 Jasmine
Crockett (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 1,502 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 43% 3%[ah] 8%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 43% – 9%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 50% 45% – 5%

Wesley Hunt vs. James Talarico

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Wesley
Hunt (R)		 James
Talarico (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Houston/YouGov[124] January 20–31, 2026 1,502 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 42% 3%[ah] 9%
Emerson College[125] January 10–12, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% – 9%
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 50% 44% – 6%
UT Tyler[140] September 17–24, 2025 1,032 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 37% 6%[as] 21%

John Cornyn vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 46% 5%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 43% 8%

Ken Paxton vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 46% 5%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 45% 6%

Wesley Hunt vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Wesley
Hunt (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
University of Houston/
Texas Southern University[138]		 September 19 – October 1, 2025 1,650 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 47% 4%
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 43% 8%

John Cornyn vs. Joaquin Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn (R)		 Joaquin
Castro (D)		 Undecided
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 41% 11%

Ken Paxton vs. Joaquin Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton (R)		 Joaquin
Castro (D)		 Undecided
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% 9%

Wesley Hunt vs. Joaquin Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Wesley
Hunt (R)		 Joaquin
Castro (D)		 Undecided
YouGov/Texas Southern University[147] May 9–19, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 42% 10%

John Cornyn vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 John
Cornyn (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Stratus Intelligence (R)[198][199][R] June 6–8, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 35% 23%

Ken Paxton vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Ken
Paxton (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Stratus Intelligence (R)[198][199][R] June 6–8, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 42% 19%

Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[f]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Other Undecided
Texas Public Opinion Research[193] August 27–29, 2025 843 (RV) ± 4.6% 48% 43% 9%[at] –

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z Endorsement received after the first round of primary voting took place.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Endorsement only applicable for the primary election.
  1. ^
    • Jeffrey Barry, HD-29 (2025–present)[43][n 1]
    • Brad Buckley, HD-54 (2019–present)[43][n 1]
    • Giovanni Capriglione, HD-98 (2013–present)[44]
    • Angie Chen Button, HD-112 (2009–present)[43][n 1]
    • Drew Darby, HD-72 (2007–present)[45]
    • Mano DeAyala, HD-133 (2023–present)[43][n 1]
    • Charlie Geren, HD-99 (2001–present)[44]
    • Sam Harless, HD-126 (2019–present)[43][n 1]
    • Cody Harris, HD-08 (2019–present)[43][n 1]
    • Ken King, HD-88 (2013–present)[43][n 1]
    • Jeff Leach, HD-67 (2013–present)[43][n 1]
    • Dade Phelan, former speaker of the House (2021–2025) from HD-21 (2015–present)[39]
    • Carl Tepper, HD-84 (2023–present)[45]
    • Terry Wilson, HD-20 (2017–present)[25]
  2. ^
    • Rodney Anderson, former HD-105 (2015–2019) and HD-106 (2011–2013)[44]
    • Myra Crownover, former HD-64 (2000–2017)[25]
    • John Cyrier, former HD-17 (2015–2023)[25]
    • Larry Gonzales, former HD-52 (2011–2018)[25]
    • Stephanie Klick, former House majority leader (2019–2021) from HD-91 (2013–2025)[39]
    • Brooks Landgraf, former HD-81 (2015–present)[26]
    • Dee Margo, former HD-78 (2011–2013) and mayor of El Paso (2017–2021)[46]
    • Four Price, former HD-87 (2011–2025)[45]
    • John N. Raney, former HD-14 (2011–2025)[25]
  3. ^
    • Donna Campbell, SD-25 (2013–present)[78]
    • Bob Hall, SD-02 (2015–present)[78]
  4. ^
    • Mark Dorazio, HD-122 (2023–present)[78]
    • Richard Hayes, HD-57 (2023–present)[78]
    • Janis Holt, HD-18 (2025–present)[78]
    • Andy Hopper, HD-64 (2025–present)[39]
    • Helen Kerwin, HD-58 (2025–present)[78]
    • Marc LaHood, HD-121 (2025–present)[78]
    • Mitch Little, HD-65 (2025–present)[39]
    • David Lowe, HD-91 (2025–present)[39]
    • Shelley Luther, HD-62 (2025–present)[39]
    • Brent Money, HD-02 (2025–present)[39]
    • Mike Olcott, HD-60 (2025–present)[39]
    • Katrina Pierson, HD-33 (2025–present)[39]
    • Keresa Richardson, HD-61 (2025–present)[39]
    • Nate Schatzline, HD-93 (2023–present)[39]
    • Joanne Shofner, HD-11 (2025–present)[78]
    • Tony Tinderholt, HD-94 (2015–present)[78]
    • Steve Toth, HD-15 (2013–2015, 2019–present)[39]
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. ^ "Someone else" and "I [did/will] not vote in this primary" with 1%; John Adefope, Anna Bender, Virgil Bierschwale, and Sara Canady with 0%
  8. ^ Anna Bender with 3%; Sara Canady and Gulrez Khan 2%; John Adefope with 1%; Virgil Bierschwale with 0%
  9. ^ "Do not remember" with 1%; John Adefope, Anna Bender, Virgil Bierschwale, Sara Canady, Gulrez Khan, and "Did not vote in this race" with 0%
  10. ^ Bierschwale with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  11. ^ Sara Canady with 1%; "4 others" with <1%
  12. ^ John Adefope with 1%; Anna Bender, Virgil Bierschwale, Sara Canady, and Gulrez Khan with a combined 1%
  13. ^ "Would not vote in that race" with 9%; "Prefer not to answer" with 4%
  14. ^ a b "Someone else" with 5%
  15. ^ Would not Vote with 8%; Other with 7%; Refused with 4%
  16. ^ County executive
  17. ^
    • Diego Bernal, HD-123 (2015–present)[247]
    • John Bryant, HD-114 (2023–present)[247]
    • John Bucy III, HD-136 (2019–present)[247]
    • Elizabeth Campos, HD-119 (2021–present)[247]
    • Terry Canales, HD-40 (2013–present)[248]
    • Sheryl Cole, HD-46 (2019–present)[248]
    • Philip Cortez, HD-117 (2017–present)[247]
    • Aicha Davis, HD-109 (2025–present)[247]
    • Lulu Flores, HD-51 (2023–present)[247]
    • Erin Gamez, HD-38 (2022–present)[247]
    • Josey Garcia, HD-124 (2023–present)[247]
    • Linda Garcia, HD-107 (2025–present)[247]
    • Cassandra Hernandez, HD-115 (2025–present)[247]
    • Donna Howard, HD-48 (2006–present)[247]
    • Ann Johnson, HD-134 (2021–present)[247]
    • Mando Martinez, HD-39 (2005–present)[247]
    • Terry Meza, HD-105 (2019–present)[247]
    • Christina Morales, HD-145 (2019–present)[247]
    • Eddie Morales, HD-74 (2021–present)[247]
    • Penny Morales Shaw, HD-148 (2021–present)[247]
    • Ray Lopez, HD-125 (2019–present)[247]
    • Claudia Ordaz, HD-79 (2023–present)[247]
    • Mary Ann Perez, HD-144 (2017–present)[247]
    • Vincent Perez, HD-77 (2025–present)[247]
    • Ramon Romero Jr., HD-90 (2015–present)[247]
    • Lauren Ashley Simmons, HD-146 (2025–present)[248]
    • Armando Walle, HD-140 (2009–present)[247]
    • Erin Zwiener, HD-45 (2019–present)[247]
  18. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  19. ^ Hassan, "I [did/will] not vote in this primary", and "Someone else" with 0%
  20. ^ Hassan with 1%
  21. ^ Hassan with 0%
  22. ^ "Did not vote in this race" and "Do not remember" with 1%; Hassan with 0%
  23. ^ Hassan with 4%
  24. ^ Hassan with 7%
  25. ^ Hassan with 2%
  26. ^ "Would not vote in that race" with 4%
  27. ^ Hassan at <1%
  28. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  29. ^ Morgul with 4%; Swanson with 3%; Virts with 1%
  30. ^ "Refused" with 2%
  31. ^ "Would not vote in that race" with 5%
  32. ^ This forecast uses the terms "likely" and "very likely" the same way the other forecasts use the terms "lean" and "likely". To avoid confusion, and for the purposes of equivalency, the terms "likely" and "very likely" will be changed to "lean" and "likely". Additionally, the term "uncertain" will be labelled "tossup".
  33. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  34. ^ a b c d Ted Brown (L) with 3%
  35. ^ a b ±3.4% adjusted for weighting
  36. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 7%
  37. ^ a b "Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion"
  38. ^ Ted Brown (L) with 7%
  39. ^ a b c Ted Brown (L) with 5%
  40. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  41. ^ Ted Brown (L) with 2%
  42. ^ a b "Someone else" with 8%
  43. ^ Ted Brown (L) with 4%
  44. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  45. ^ a b "Someone else" with 6%
  46. ^ "Someone else" with 9%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Some candidates may have not published fundraising totals as of the filing deadline.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Poll sponsored by Hunt's campaign
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll sponsored by Texans for a Conservative Majority PAC, which supports Cornyn
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Paxton's campaign
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Lone Star Liberty PAC, which supports Paxton
  6. ^ a b c Poll commissioned by a Paxton-allied super PAC.
  7. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Standing For Texas, who support Hunt[192]
  8. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates for U.S. Senate
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w Poll commissioned by a pro-Hunt group
  10. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Senate Leadership Fund, which supports Cornyn
  11. ^ a b Poll commissioned by One Nation, which supports Cornyn
  12. ^ a b Poll conducted for the Defend Texas Liberty PAC
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Giffords
  14. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by Talarico's campaign
  15. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Texas Public Opinion Research
  16. ^ Poll commissioned by the Texas Justice Fund
  17. ^ a b c Poll commissioned by the Conservative Policy Project
  18. ^ Poll sponsored by the Educational Freedom Institute
  19. ^ Poll sponsored by Lone Star Rising PAC, which supports Talarico
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by Crockett's campaign
  21. ^ Poll sponsored by Forward Texas super PAC, which supports Crockett
  22. ^ Poll sponsored by Allred's campaign

References

  1. ^ a b Gans, Jared (February 9, 2025). "7 competitive primaries to watch in 2026". The Hill. Archived from the original on February 10, 2025. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  2. ^ Jacobs, Ben (May 14, 2025). "The Republican Trainwreck of the 2026 Election Cycle". Politico. Retrieved May 15, 2025.
  3. ^ McLaughlin, Seth. "Sen. Cornyn's reelection bid faces more warning signs in new Senate primary poll". The Washington Times. Retrieved June 5, 2025.
  4. ^ Goodman, J. David (May 30, 2025). "Cornyn Calls Primary Fight Against Ken Paxton a 'Test of Character'". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 29, 2025.
  5. ^ Jacobs, Ben (June 7, 2025). "'Trump movement' turns on Cornyn, poll finds". Politico. Retrieved June 7, 2025.
  6. ^ McGraw, Elizabeth Findell and Meridith (May 19, 2026). "Trump Endorses Ken Paxton in Tight Texas GOP Senate Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved May 19, 2026.
  7. ^ "Trump weighs in on Texas Senate race". wfaa.com. April 13, 2025. Retrieved April 14, 2025.
  8. ^ "There's a 'Nasty' Senate Primary Battle Brewing in Texas". NOTUS. April 25, 2025. Retrieved April 25, 2025.
  9. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (May 2, 2025). "Scoop: Pro-Paxton group courts Trump with anti-Cornyn ad". Axios. Retrieved May 2, 2025.
  10. ^ "What becomes of Republicans who cross King Donald?". The Economist. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved July 8, 2025.
  11. ^ Livingston, Abby; Svitek, Patrick (December 7, 2018). "Ted Cruz endorses John Cornyn for re-election". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 9, 2025.
  12. ^ Schneider, Andrew (December 29, 2025). "Texas GOP faces legal opposition in bid to close state's open primary system". KERA News. Retrieved January 15, 2026.
  13. ^ McCormick, Cara Brown (October 13, 2025). "Paxton Concedes He Has a Conflict of Interest in Texas Primary Lawsuit". Independent Voter News. Retrieved January 15, 2026.
  14. ^ Jeffers, Gromer Jr. (May 24, 2024). "U.S. Sen. John Cornyn commits to seeking reelection in 2026". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved May 24, 2024.
  15. ^ Scherer, Jasper (April 8, 2025). "Texas AG Ken Paxton officially joins U.S. Senate race challenging John Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 8, 2025.
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Rosiles, Mateo. "Who is running in the Texas 2026 March primaries? See the list". Lubbock Avalanche-Journal. Retrieved February 6, 2026.
  17. ^ a b c "Texas Statewide — All Races". texascandidatetracker.com. Retrieved February 6, 2026.
  18. ^ a b c d Fullerton, Adam (July 1, 2025). "Who is Running for U.S. Senate in Texas?". KTBC. Retrieved July 24, 2025.
  19. ^ a b Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 – Online Guide to Texas Elections, Candidates & Politics". politics1.com.
  20. ^ Beaumont, Thomas (October 6, 2025). "Rep. Wesley Hunt is running for US Senate in Texas, defying GOP leaders to take on Cornyn and Paxton". Associated Press. Retrieved October 6, 2025.
  21. ^ a b c Birenbaum, Gabby. "Trump endorses Ken Paxton in Senate GOP runoff". Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 19, 2026.
  22. ^ "Reclaiming Faith, Family & Freedom (home page)". September 12, 2025. Archived from the original on June 30, 2025.
  23. ^ Lewis, Jason; Fikes, Barry (October 16, 2024). "A Night with Rennie Mann: From Community Stories to U.S. Senate Candidacy". Coyote Nation (Podcast). Retrieved December 5, 2024 – via Podbean.
  24. ^ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (October 7, 2025). "Morning Digest, sponsored by Campaign Legal Center: A third congressman the GOP wanted to stay put is now running statewide". Morning Digest. Retrieved October 7, 2025.
  25. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "More than 130 prominent Central Texas Republicans endorse Cornyn for re-election". Odessa American. February 10, 2026. Retrieved February 10, 2026.
  26. ^ a b "More than 60 West Texas Republicans endorse Cornyn for reelection". Odessa American. January 21, 2025. Retrieved January 26, 2026.
  27. ^ Gramm, Phil; Bailey Hutchison, Kay (October 22, 2025). "We served Texas in the Senate. Now we're backing John Cornyn". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
  28. ^ Perry, Rick (August 4, 2025). "Rick Perry: Why I am supporting John Cornyn in the U.S. Senate primary". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  29. ^ Gomez-Tate, Lisandra. "Trump's Ex-CIA Director Slammed for GOP Texas Endorsement". 2paragraphs. Retrieved March 9, 2026.
  30. ^ a b c d e f g h Mutnick, Ally; Soellner, Mica (June 27, 2025). "John who? Texas GOP skirts Cornyn endorsement". Punchbowl News. Retrieved June 27, 2025.
  31. ^ a b "Nervous Republicans rally behind Cornyn as they wait on Trump's Texas pick". Politico. March 4, 2026. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  32. ^ a b c d e "Texas GOP braces for explosive Senate primary". The Hill. April 12, 2025. Retrieved February 17, 2026.
  33. ^ "The Last Ride of Big Bad John". Texas Monthly. February 2026. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  34. ^ a b c d Sivak, David; Green, Lauren (April 9, 2025). "Cruz won't back Senate colleague Cornyn in preview of Texas primary divisions". Washington Examiner. Retrieved April 10, 2025.
  35. ^ Gold, Michael; Mineiro, Megan; Hulse, Carl (May 19, 2026). "Republican Senators Are Livid at Trump's Endorsement of Paxton". The New York Times. Retrieved May 20, 2026.
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  37. ^ "Thune endorses Cornyn ahead of what could be a thorny primary". Politico. March 26, 2025. Retrieved April 10, 2025.
  38. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Friedman, Marijke (September 24, 2025). "Cornyn nabs endorsements from 15 former GOP members of Congress in primary vs. Paxton". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved September 24, 2025.
  39. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q "Who's backing who in Texas' Senate GOP runoff between John Cornyn, Ken Paxton?". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Retrieved May 16, 2026.
  40. ^ "'The Least Liked Out of Everybody': Republicans Suggest Wesley Hunt Stay Out of the Texas Senate Race". NOTUS. July 25, 2025. Retrieved July 25, 2025.
  41. ^ Powell, Adam. "Newt Gingrich endorses John Cornyn in Texas Senate GOP runoff election". El Paso Times. Retrieved April 25, 2026.
  42. ^ a b "Amid new endorsements in tightening GOP primary for U.S. Senate, Cornyn says "the trend line is in our favor" – CBS Texas". CBS News. November 13, 2025. Retrieved November 14, 2025.
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