2026 Colombian presidential election
← 2022
31 May 2026 (first round)
21 June 2026 (second round)
2030 →
Opinion polls
Turnout 57.9% (first round) Increase 2.92pp
 
Candidate Abelardo de la Espriella Iván Cepeda
Party Independent[a] Historic Pact
Alliance Defenders of the Homeland Alliance for Life
Running mate José Manuel Restrepo Aida Quilcué
Popular vote 10,361,499 9,688,361
Percentage 43.74% 40.90%
President before election

Gustavo Petro
Historic Pact

 Elected President

TBD

Presidential elections were held in Colombia on 31 May 2026.[1][2] Incumbent president Gustavo Petro, elected in 2022, is constitutionally barred from seeking a second term.[3]

In the first round, right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella led with 43.7% of the vote, followed by left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda with 40.9%. As none of the 13 candidates obtained at least 50% of the vote in the first round, a runoff will be held between the two on 21 June 2026.[4]

Background

In the previous presidential election in 2022, as none of the presidential nominees obtained at least 50% of the votes in the first round, a runoff was held between the top two candidates, Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández Suárez.[5] Petro won the run-off, becoming the first left-wing candidate to be elected president of Colombia since the country's independence in 1810.[6][7][8] The results for the second round saw the lowest record of spoiled and blank ballots in over twenty years and a turnout of 58.17%, the highest since 1998.[9]

Since taking office, Petro and his allies have been involved in several scandals.[3] One scandal, nicknamed "Nannygate", involved the publishing of recordings of then-ambassador to Venezuela, Armando Benedetti, speaking with Petro's Chief of Staff, Laura Sarabia, about possible illegal financing and threats of revealing compromising information on campaign rivals. Both were forced to resign from their positions as a result. The scandal lowered approval of Petro, being viewed by the public as an indication of corruption inside the government.[10][11] His presidential approval rating dropped to a low of 26% in July 2023 according to a Datexco survey.[12]

In 2025, Petro fired his entire cabinet to reassess his previous choices in light of his appointment of Armando Benedetti as Chief of Staff and promotion of thirty-year-old Laura Sarabia to Foreign Minister; both were embroiled in a campaign finance scandal.[13] His key labor and health-care reforms stalling at the legislative branch,[14] the arrest of his son in a money laundering scandal involving campaign financing,[15][16] and the scandal involving his ministers contributed to a decrease in public support for the president.[17][18] However, Petro's approval ratings rebounded significantly, reaching 49% approval as recently as February 2026.[19]

His presidency has been characterized by a progressive economic policy, including a substantial increase in the minimum wage, the strengthening of the legal framework for labor rights, the redistribution of land to peasants, and higher social spending. Poverty and unemployment have declined, but his opponents point to a rise in public debt.[20] His policy of "Total Peace", aimed at demobilizing all armed groups and definitively ending Colombian conflict, is generally regarded as a failure. He is ending his term with an approval rating of about 50%, compared with a disapproval rating of 43%.[21]

Electoral system

Further information: Elections in Colombia and Politics of Colombia

Colombian presidents are elected for four-year terms using a two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff is held between the top two candidates.[22] The vice president is elected on the same ticket as the president. Presidents are limited to a single four-year term, and Article 191 of the constitution requires candidates to be Colombian by birth and at least thirty years old. In line with the constitution, Colombian citizens by birth or by naturalization, aged eighteen or older have the right to vote. Several scenarios can cause the loss of the right to vote, as outlined in the constitution. Citizens in detention centers can vote from the establishments determined by the National Civil Registry. The civil registry inscription is not automatic, and citizens must go to the regional office of the registry to register.[23] Legislative Act No. 2 of 2015 established that the runner-up in the presidential elections is given a seat in the Senate and their vice president candidate becomes a member of the Chamber of Representatives.[24]

In order to be accepted as a candidate, applicants must either have the backing of a recognized political party in order to run as their official candidate, or to collect a minimum number of signatures in order to run as an independent candidate.[citation needed]

Candidates

Historic Pact

Main article: 2026 Historic Pact presidential primaries

Cepeda announced his candidacy in July 2025 and was considered one of the initial favorites for the presidential nomination of the Historic Pact in the polls. Cepeda initially competed against six other pre-candidates, four of whom later withdrew, leaving him to face Minister Carolina Corcho and former mayor of Medellín, Daniel Quintero, in the primary election.

Following his victory in the primary election in October 2025, Cepeda officially became the presidential candidate of the Historic Pact. Carolina Corcho, who received the second-highest number of votes, became the lead candidate for the Senate in the 2026 parliamentary elections in March.[citation needed]

After obtaining an overwhelming majority during the parliamentary election on March 8, Cepeda would announce Aida Quilcué as the candidate for vice president on Monday, March 9.

2026 Historic Pact ticket
Iván Cepeda Aida Quilcué
for President for Vice President
Senator
(2014–present)		 Senator
(2022–present)
[25][26][27][28]

Democratic Centre

Main article: 2026 Democratic Centre presidential primaries

Paloma Valencia became the official candidate of the Democratic Center after winning by a wide margin among the delegates, defeating her opponent, Senator María Fernanda Cabal. Valencia also competed in the national primary election on March 8 during the 2026 parliamentary election, where she obtained a significant majority with 3,236,286 votes, surpassing her eight fellow candidates.

Valencia announced her vice-presidential candidate on Thursday, March 12, revealing Juan Daniel Oviedo, who obtained 1,255,510 votes, the second highest vote count during the national primary election.

2026 Democratic Centre ticket
Paloma Valencia Juan Daniel Oviedo
for President for Vice President
Senator
(2014–present)		 General Director National Administrative Department of Statistics
(2018–2022)
[29][30]

Defenders of the Homeland

2026 Defenders of the Homeland ticket
Abelardo de la Espriella José Manuel Restrepo
for President for Vice President
Businessman
(2002–present)		 Minister of Finance and Public Credit
(2021–2022)

Other parties and candidates

Party/coalition Presidential candidate Origin Experience
Dignity and Comminent		 Sergio Fajardo[31] Antioquia Governor of Antioquia (2012–2016)
Mayor of Medellín (2004–2008)
The Force of Peace Roy Barreras[32] Valle del Cauca Member of the Chamber of Representatives (2006–2010)
Senator (2010–2023)
President of the Senate (2012-2013), (2022-2023)
New Liberalism		 Juan Manuel Galán[33] Bogotá Senator (2006–2018)
Independent (Brave Movement)		 Vicky Dávila[34][35] Valle del Cauca Director of Semana (2020–2024)
Independent (Yes There Is a Way)		 David Luna[36][37] Bogotá, D.C. Member of the Chamber of Representatives (2006–2010)
Minister of Information Technologies and Communications (2015–2018)
Senator (2022–2025)
Independent Santiago Botero[38][39] Antioquia Businessman
Oxygen Green Party		 Juan Carlos Pinzón[40] Bogotá Minister of National Defence (2011–2015)
Secretary General of the Presidency (2010–2011)
Movement In Motion		 Juan Fernando Cristo[41] Norte de Santander Minister of Interior (2024–2025), (2014–2017)
President of the Senate (2013-2014)
Senator (1998–2014)
Indigenous Authorities of Colombia		 Daniel Quintero[42] Antioquia Mayor of Medellín (2020–2023)
Deputy Minister of the Digital Economy (2016–2017)
Independent Claudia López[43][44] Bogotá, D.C. Senator (2014–2018)
Mayor of Bogotá (2020–2024)
Independent Luis Gilberto Murillo[45] Chocó Minister of Foreign Affairs (2024–2025)
Minister of Environment and Sustainable Development (2016–2018)
Governor of Chocó (1998-1999), (2012)
Independent Mauricio Lizcano[46][47] Antioquia Member of the Chamber of Representatives (2006–2010)
Senator (2010–2018)
Minister of Information Technologies and Communications (2023–2025)
President of the Senate (2016-2017)
Independent Mauricio Cárdenas[48][49] Bogotá, D.C. Minister of Finance and Public Credit (2012–2018)
Minister of Mines and Energy (2011-2012)
Minister of Transport (1998-1999)
Minister of Economic Development (1994)

Declined or deceased candidates

  • Francia Márquez (Soy Porque Somos), incumbent vice president.[50]
  • Miguel Uribe Turbay (Democratic Centre), assassinated senator[51]

Opinion polls

Second round

Cepeda vs. De la Espriella

Fieldwork date Pollster Sample
size		 Margin of
error

+/–

 Blank Void Undecided Lead
Iván Cepeda
PH		 Abelardo de la Espriella
MSN
1-2 June 2026 AtlasIntel / Semana [52] 2,030 2% 42.6% 50.3% 3.7% 0.5% 2.9% 7.7%

First round

2026

The CNE suspended AtlasIntel's polls (partnered with Semana) on May 19, 2026, over concerns that invalid methodologies led to biased election reporting. Specific irregularities included digital exclusion bias, model-dependent estimation, inconsistent data, quality control failures, and candidate popularity relative inflation. The ban was lifted on May 21 for procedural reasons (lack of quorum), but the technical probe remains ongoing.[53]

Fieldwork date Pollsters Sample Margin of error Blank [b] Void Undecided Lead
Iván Cepeda
PH		 Abelardo de la Espriella
MSN		 Paloma Valencia
CD		 Sergio Fajardo
D&C		 Claudia López
IC		 Santiago Botero
RS		 Miguel Londoño
CD		 Roy Barreras
LF		 Carlos Caicedo
FC		 Luis Murillo
CR		 Mauricio Lizcano
ASI		 Sondra Macollins
AM		 Gustavo Camacho
PEC		 Clara López
ED
(withdrawn)[c]
31 May 2026 E-14 Preliminary rapid count

Thomas Greg & Sons [54][55][56]

 23,982,304

57.88%

 ~3.0%

(Historical) [57]

 9,688,361

40.90%

 10,661,499

43.74%

 1,639,685

6.92%

 1,009,073

4.26%

 225,517

0.95%

 206,140

0.87%

 28,657

0.12%

 14,108

0.05%

 12,694

0.05%

 13,270

0.05%

 53,738

0.22%

 19,889

0.08%

 5,627

0.02%

 — 271,104

1.14%

 292,975

1.22%

 107,314

0.45%

 2.84%
13–20 May 2026 Invamer[58] 2,224 2.44% 44.6% 31.6% 14.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% N/a 2.0% N/a N/a 13.0%
Decision of vote 2,356 2.19% 88.8% — 11.2% —
9–14 May 2026 AtlasIntel/SEMANA [59] 5,039 1% 36.0% 31.5% 16.0% 4.7% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% — 3.1% 2.1% 2.2% 4.5%
4–11 May 2026 Fundación Génesis Crea[60] 4,352 1.48% 35.1% 21.6% 25.4% 2.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% — 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — 3.2% — 5.4% 13.5%
15–24 April 2026 Invamer[61] 3,800 2% 44.3% 21.5% 19.8% 2% 3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% N/a 4.8% N/a N/a 22.8%
20–22 April 2026 GAD3[62] 1,500 2% 36.0% 21.0% 13.0% 2.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% N/a 4.8% N/a 17.0% 15.0%
6–9 April 2026 Atlas Intel/SEMANA[63] 3,617 2% 40.82% 29.43% 24.79% 5.38% 1.05% 0.63% 0% 0.32% 0% 0% 0% 0.11% 0% 0% N/a N/a N/a 11.39%
38.84% 27.95% 23.53% 5.14% 1.03% 0.62% 0% 0.31 0% 0% 0% 0.1% 0% 0% 2.5% N/a N/a 10.89%
37.8% 27.2% 22.9% 5% 1% 0.6% 0% 0.3% 0% 0% 0% 0.1% 0% 0% 2.5% 0.7% 2% 10.6%
20 March 2026 The Electoral Tribunal finalized the list of the 14 first-round candidates.[d]
March 2026 CELAG[64] --- --- 47.84% 18.25% 24.68% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 23.16%
40.9% 15.4% 21.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% N/a 0.3% N/a 0.2% 0.2% 0% N/a 0.9% 7% 3.2% 4.3% 19.8%
19–25 March 2026 Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[65] 3,736 ±2.2 pp 42.1% 22.7% 22.4% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 19.4%
37.5% 20.2% 19.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0% 0.1% 0.5% 11% N/a N/a 17.3%
17–21 March 2026 CNC[66] 2,157 ±3 pp 41.27% 18.42% 26.56% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 14.47%
34.5% 15.4% 22.2% 3.6% 3.7% 1.3% 1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 6.5% 1.9% 8% 12.3%
16–18 March 2026 Noticias RCN /Gad3[67] 1,200 ±3 pp 43.21% 25.93% 19.75% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 17.28%
35% 21% 16% 3% 4% 1% 1% 0.1% 0.3% 1% 0.1% N/a N/a 0.2% 6% 6% 7% 15%
10–12 March 2026 AtlasIntel/SEMANA[68] 4,291 ±2 pp 36.4% 27.9% 17.5% 7.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0% 0.9% N/a 0.7% 0% 0.1% 0.9% 1.2% 3.3%
(Incl.)		 1%
(Exc.)		 2.9%
(Excluded)		 8.5%
11–22 February 2026 Invamer[69] 3,800 ±1.93 pp 37.1% 18.9% 10% 6.6% 11.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 0.7% N/a 0.4% 0.3% N/a 2.8% 2.4% N/a N/a 18.2%
February 2026 CELAG[70] --- --- 46.41% 30.62% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15.79%
38.2% 25.2% 4.6% 4.4% 0.8% N/a N/a 1% 0.5% N/a N/a N/a N/a 0.7% 9.6% 8.1% 13%
27 January – 4 February 2026 AtlasIntel/SEMANA[71] 7,298 ±1 pp 31.4% 32.1% 3.8% 7.6% 3.7% N/a 2.1% 0.3% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.3% N/a 7.7%
(Excluded)		 0.7%
15–21 January 2026 CNC/Cambio[72] [73] 2,202 ±2.9 pp 28.2% 15.5% N/a 9.8% 3.7% N/a N/a 0.3% 0.9% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 2.3% 16.1% 7.5% 12.7%
14–22 January 2026 Guarumo/EcoAnalítica [74] 4,245 ±1.8 pp 33.6% 18.2% 6.9% 3.9% 2.4% 1% N/a 0 7%% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% N/a N/a 0.8% N/a N/a 13% 15.4%
13–15 January 2026 Noticias RCN/Gad3[75] 1,207 ±2.83 pp 30% 22% 3% 1% 0.4% 1% N/a 1% N/a N/a 0.1% N/a N/a N/a 5% 11% 14% 8%
5–8 January 2026 AtlasIntel/SEMANA[76] 4,550 ±1 pp 26.5% 28.0% 5.1% 9.4% 2.6% N/a N/a 0.2%% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 7.2% 1.1% 5.7% 1.5%

2025

Fieldwork date Pollsters Sample Bolívar
PH		 Cepeda
PH		 Corcho
PH		 Muhamad
PH		 Pizarro
PH		 Quintero
PH		 Cabal
CD		 Uribe Turbay †
CD		 Uribe Londoño
CD		 Valencia
CD		 de la Espriella
Ind.		 Fajardo
D&C		 Dávila
Ind.		 Galán
NL		 Cepeda
PCC		 Cristo
Ind.		 Gaviria
Ind.		 Gómez
PLC		 Hernández
AV		 López
Ind.		 Luna
Ind.		 Murillo
Ind.		 Oviedo
Ind.		 Pinzón
PVO		 Vargas
CR		 Zuluaga
Ind.		 Others Blank None Don't know/No answer
13–17 Dec W.A.A[77] 11509 - 30.7% - - - - 4.1% - 2.3% 0.7% 16.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6% 1.2% - 0.4% - - 3.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 0.7% 3.1% - 2.7% 11.8% - -
15–27 Nov Invamer[78] 2080 - 31.9% - - - - 1.1% - 4.2% 1.1% 18.2% 8.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.3% 0.4% - 4.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 2.9% 2.1% - 6.6% 4.5% - -
10–15 Nov Yamil Cure S.A.S[79] 2250 - 19.6% - - - 5.2% - - 5.0% - 15.6% 10.6% 4.2% 5.2% - - - - - 7.1% - - - 2.2% 2.9% - 1.1% 6.4% - 13.7%
6–14 Nov CNC[80] 2140 - 20.9% - - - 1.8% 0.9% - 4.1% - 14.4% 7.8% 3.2% 3.3% - - 1.0% - - 5.0% 0.3% - 1.7% 0.6% 1.6% - 1.3% 3.7% 18.5% 7.5%
11–16 Oct CNC[81] 1803 - 8.0% 8.1% - - 2.5% 1.5% - 9.7% 0.4% 13.7% 8.9% 6.4% 2.6% 0.1% - 1.1% 0.1% - 5.5% 1.7% - 1.6% 1.5% 2.8% 1.2% 1.3% 3.2% 9.9% 5.3%
11 August 2025 Death of Miguel Uribe Turbay
1–5 Jul Guarumo[82] 2122 10.5% 2.1% 2.4% 1.7% 3.2% 8.1% 1.9% 13.7% - 0.7% 1.1% 8.7% 11.5% 3.0% - - - - 2.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.5% 2.2% - 2.9% 0.4% 2.9% - 5.3% 3.5%
21–26 Apr Guarumo[83] 2159 12.6% 3.5% 2.5% - 2.6% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% - 1.0% - 11.4% 11.6% 4.0% - - - - - 4.7% 1.2% - 1.5% - 5.6% 0.3% 2.3% 7.2% 5.9% 4.2%
21–25 Mar Invamer[84] 1200 11.8% 4.1% 0.9% 1.1% 3.7% 4.7% 4.2% 4.8% - 0.8% 1.7% 9.5% 8.3% 7.8% - 0.5% - - 3.8% 6.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 7.3% - - 4.1% - -
18–20 Mar CNC[85] 1594 10.1% 3.6% - - 7.4% 6.2% 2.1% 6.9% - - 1.1% 13.4% 13.6% 7.6% - - - - 3.0% 9.5% - - - 0.4% 7.9% - 0.9% 2.8% 9.9% 2.9%
10–13 Feb Guarumo[86] 2140 11.9% 2.1% 2.2% 1.0% 4.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.0% - 1.2% - 11.5% 15.1% 4.0% - 0.2% - - 3.3% 4.6% 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 0.4% 5.2% 0.5% 0.9% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7%
27–29 Jan CNC[87] 1513 6.7% - 3.1% - 4.3% 4.7% 5.6% - - - - 11.8% 12.7% 7.8% - - - - - 6.9% 1.7% 1.8% 4.8% - 6.2% - - 5.0% 9.7% 2.1%

2024

Fieldwork date Pollsters Sample Candidates Lead
Dávila Galán Fajardo López Cabal Botero Pizarro Gaviria Quintero Márquez Vargas Bolívar Oviedo Uribe Noguera Muhamad Murillo Valencia Others Blank Don't know/No answer None
9 - 12 December Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[88] 2018 13.1% 5.0% 14.5% 5.7% 3.0% 0.4% 3.7% 0.7% 2.8% - 5.0% 8.9% 1.5% 3.2% - 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% - 5.6% 3.6% 7.7% 2.2%
22 - 26 November Invamer[89] 1200 8.6% 7.3% 15.4% 12,6% 1,6% - 4.1% - 6.1% - 9.2% 8.6% 5.5% 3.1% - 1.2% 4.5% 0.9% 2.7% 6.3% - 17.4% 2.83%
18 - 21 November CNC[90] 2000 11.4% 10.0% 13.4% 9.7% 5.8% - 6.8% 2.5% 5.0% - 8.0% 6.5% - 4.2% - - 3.1% - - 2.4% 1.9% 9.4% 2.7%
25 - 28 October Invamer[91] 1504 7.7% 9.7% 10.5% 10.9% 3.6% - 5.1% - 2.6% 4.9% 4.3% 6.5% - 5.4% - - 1.4% - 1.1% 0.6% 7.5% 12.9% 2.53%
7 - 11 September Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[92] 2012 12.2% 5.6% 10.1% 9.4% 6.4% - 4.1% 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 2.7% 6.2% - 1.3% 3% - - 1.4% - 5.3% 1.3% 9.2% 2.2%
26 August- 4 September CNC[93] 1304 7.5% 10.7% 8.3% 8.6% 4.5% - 5.4% - 1.7% 3.0% 8.1% 4.3% - 6.7% - 1% 2.2% - 22.3% - 5.9% 22.3% 2.7%
31 July - 4 August Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[94] 2023 9.6% 3.1% 9.6% 7.1% 4.4% - 3.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3% 2.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.8% 3.0% - 1.4% 1.4% - 7.2% 2.5% 12.6% 2.2%
22 - 26 June Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[95] 1998 8.1% 6.2% 6.9% 8.8% 2.8% - 5.5% 1.5% 2.3% 4.2% 2.7% 3.5% 2.0% 1.3% 3.3% - 0.5% 0.7% - 5.9% 4.1% 8.5% 2.2%
7 - 9 May CNC[96] 1030 - 13% 12% 9% 5% - 8% 3% 5% 7% 2% 6% 2% 4% - 1% - - 14% 5% 4% 14% 3.4%

A poll conducted by market research firm Guarumo and Ecoanalitica in February 2025 showed conservative candidate Vicky Dávila leading with 15.1%, followed by president Petro's ally Gustavo Bolívar at 11.9%. It also showed former presidential candidate and centrist Sergio Fajardo at 11.5%. Meanwhile, 7.1% polled said that they would not vote for any of the candidates.[97]

Another poll conducted by the National Consulting Center in March 2025, commissioned and financed by Semana magazine, showed a close lead between Dávila with 13.6% and Fajardo with 13.4%, as well as Bolívar at 10.1%. The poll also showed Fajardo leading the voting intention with 35.1% against Dávila's 31.7% in a run-off.[98]

Second round

This section shows opinion polls for hypothetical second-round match-ups. Results include voting intentions, with undecided/non-voters not explicitly broken out in the poll.

Cepeda vs. de la Espriella

Pollster Date(s) administered Iván Cepeda Abelardo de la Espriella Lead
CNC[99] 15–22 May 2026 40.9% 43.6% 2.7%
AtlasIntel/Semana[100] 18–21 May 2026 41.3% 50.0% 8.7%
Invamer[101] 13–20 May 2026 52.4% 45.3% 7.1%
AtlasIntel/Semana[102] 11–14 May 2026 40.4% 44.0% 3.6%
Fundación Génesis Crea 4–11 May 2026 46.5% 41.4% 5.1%
Invamer[103] 15–24 April 2026 54.6% 42.6% 12.0%
GAD3[104] 20–22 April 2026 46.0% 35.0% 11.0%
AtlasIntel 6–9 April 2026 39.8% 48.8% 9%
Guarumo/Ecoanalitica[105] 19–25 March 2026 44.9% 36.4% 8.5%
CNC[106] 17–21 March 2026 48.1% 35.5% 12.6%
GAD3[67] 16–18 March 2026 45.0% 36.0% 9.0%
AtlasIntel/SEMANA 10–12 March 2026 39.2% 43.5% 4.3%
Invamer[69] 11–22 February 2026 59.4% 37.4% 20.0%
CELAG[70] February 2026 45.3% 38.4% 6.9%
AtlasIntel/SEMANA[107] 27 Jan – 4 February 2026 34.6% 36.8% 2.2%
CNC[108] 15–21 January 2026 45.2% 25.7% 19.5%

Other scenarios

Cepeda vs. Valencia
Pollster Date(s) administered Iván Cepeda Paloma Valencia Lead
Invamer[101] 13–20 May 2026 52.8% 44.3% 8.5%
AtlasIntel/Semana[102] 11 May-14 May 2026 39.2% 40% 0.8%
Fundación Génesis Crea 4–11 May 2026 45.6% 48.3% 2.7%
Invamer[103] 15–24 April 2026 51.2% 46.6% 4.6%
GAD3[104] 20–22 April 2026 44.0% 37.0% 7.0%
AtlasIntel 6–9 April 2026 39.6% 47.1% 7.5%
Guarumo/Ecoanalitica[105] 19-25 Mar 2026 43.3% 40.0% 3.3%
CNC[106] 17-21 Mar 2026 43.3% 42.9% 0.3%
GAD3[109] 16-18 Mar 2026 43.0% 40.0% 3%
AtlasIntel/SEMANA[110] 10-12 Mar 2026 38.4% 45.7% 7.3%
CNC[111] 23-28 Feb 2026 57.0% 25.4% 31.6%
Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[112] 19-25 Feb 2026 40.8% 26.4% 14.4%
AtlasIntel/SEMANA[113] 19-25 February 2026 39.8% 29.6% 10 2%
GAD3[114] 16-23 February 2026 40.0% 25.0% 15%
Invamer[115] 11-22 February 2026 65.2% 30.7 34.5%
AtlasIntel/SEMANA[116] 27 January–4 February 2026 35.2% 26.9% 8.3%
CNC[117] 15-21 January 2026 47.7% 17.8% 12.6%
Guarumo/EcoAnalítica[118] 14-22 January 2026 40.0% 21.2% 18.8%
GAD3[119] 13-15 January 2026 43.0% 20.0% 23.0%
AtlasIntel/SEMANA[76] 5–8 January 2026 35.8% 38.2% 2.4%
Cepeda vs. Fajardo
Pollster Date(s) administered Iván Cepeda Sergio Fajardo Lead
AtlasIntel 6–9 April 2026 38.3 37.4% 0.9%
Guarumo/EcoAnalítica 19-25 March 2026 44.8% 24.8% 20%
GAD3 16-18 March 2026 44.0% 32.0% 12%
AtlasIntel 10-12 March 2026 36.9% 36.7% 0.2
CNC 23-28 February 2026 52.1% 29.9% 22.2%
Guarumo/EcoAnalítica 19-25 February 2026 40.6% 25.7% 14.9%
AtlasIntel 19-25 February 2026 37.5% 25.1% 12.4%
GAD3 16-23 February 2026 36.0% 26.0% 10%
Invamer 11-22 February 2026 53.9% 42.8% 11.1%
AtlasIntel 27 January–4 February2026 33.7% 26.2% 2.5%
CNC 15-21 January 2026 40.7% 28.0% 5.7%
Guarumo/EcoAnalítica 14-22 January 2026 39.3% 24.8% 14.5%
GAD3 13-15 January 2026 40.0% 25.0% 15%
AtlasIntel 5–8 January 2026 32.1% 39.6% 7.5%
W.A.A 13–17 December 2025 42.1% 19.1% 23%
Invamer 15–27 November 2025 48.9% 46.4% 2.5%

Allegations of foreign interference

On 29 May 2026, Ecuadorean president Daniel Noboa met with Abelardo de la Espriella and said he was committed to jointly fight narcoterrorism and would eliminate a security tax on 1 June. In response, the Colombian government called the measure "deliberate interference" in the election.[120]

Results

Results from the first round indicated that National Salvation candidate Abelardo de la Espriella led in first place, a contrast to opinion polls which suggested a lead for the Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda. Espriella won 43.7% of the popular vote, while Cepeda followed with 40.9% of the vote. Democratic Centre candidate Paloma Valencia took third place with 6.9% of the popular vote, also underperforming opinion polls that suggested higher vote percentages for Valencia. Sergio Fajardo and other candidates received 6.7% of the vote, while blank votes represented 1.73% of the vote.

Candidate Running mate Party First round Second round
Votes % Votes %
Abelardo de la Espriella José Manuel Restrepo Independent[a] 10,361,499 43.74
Iván Cepeda Aida Quilcué Historic Pact 9,688,361 40.90
Paloma Valencia Juan Daniel Oviedo Democratic Centre 1,639,685 6.92
Sergio Fajardo Edna Bonilla [es] Dignity and Commitment [es] 1,009,073 4.26
Claudia López Leonardo Huerta Independent 225,517 0.95
Santiago Botero Jaramillo [es] Carlos Cuevas Independent 206,140 0.87
Mauricio Lizcano Pedro de la Torre Independent 53,839 0.23
Miguel Uribe Londoño Luisa Fernanda Villegas Colombian Democratic Party [es] 28,657 0.12
Sondra Macollins Garvin Leonardo Karam Helo Independent 19,889 0.08
Roy Barreras Martha Zamora The Force [es] 14,108 0.06
Luis Gilberto Murillo Luz María Zapata Independent 13,270 0.06
Carlos Caicedo Nelson Alacrón Independent 12,694 0.05
Gustavo Matamoros Camacho [es] Mila Paz Colombian Ecologist Party [es] 5,627 0.02
Blank votes 410,970 1.73
Total 23,689,329 100.00
Valid votes 23,689,329 98.78
Invalid votes 292,975 1.22
Total votes 23,982,304 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 41,421,973 57.90 41,421,973 –
Source: Registraduria

By department

First round

Department De La Espriella Cepeda Valencia Fajardo Others Blank votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Amazonas .% .% .% .% .% .%
Antioquia .% .% .% .% .% .%
Arauca .% .% .% .% .% .%
Atlántico .% .% .% .% .% .%
Bogotá .% .% .% .% .% .%
Bolívar .% .% .% .% .% .%
Boyacá .% .% .% .% .% .%
Caldas .% .% .% .% .% .%
Caquetá .% .% .% .% .% .%
Casanare .% .% .% .% .% .%
Cauca .% .% .% .% .% .%
Cesar .% .% .% .% .% .%
Chocó .% .% .% .% .% .%
Consulates/Abroad .% .% .% .% .% .%
Córdoba .% .% .% .% .% .%
Cundinamarca .% .% .% .% .% .%
Guainía .% .% .% .% .% .%
Guaviare .% .% .% .% .% .%
Huila .% .% .% .% .% .%
La Guajira .% .% .% .% .% .%
Magdalena .% .% .% .% .% .%
Meta .% .% .% .% .% .%
Nariño .% .% .% .% .% .%
Norte de Santander .% .% .% .% .% .%
Putumayo .% .% .% .% .% .%
Quindío .% .% .% .% .% .%
Risaralda .% .% .% .% .% .%
San Andrés and Providencia .% .% .% .% .% .%
Santander .% .% .% .% .% .%
Sucre .% .% .% .% .% .%
Tolima .% .% .% .% .% .%
Valle del Cauca .% .% .% .% .% .%
Vaupés .% .% .% .% .% .%
Vichada .% .% .% .% .% .%
Source: TBD

Notes

  1. ^ a b Received support from the National Salvation Movement.
  2. ^ Under Article 258 of the Colombian Constitution, as regulated by Law 1475 of 2011, the blank vote (voto en blanco) is considered a valid vote. It is a decisive factor in the first round, as a candidate must secure an absolute majority (50% plus one) of all valid votes to win outright. If the blank vote exceeds 50% of the total valid votes cast, the election must be repeated with an entirely new slate of candidates. Historically, however, the blank vote rarely exceeds 1.75% in the first round. While polls consistently include these figures, excluding blank, null, and undecided responses often provides a clearer reflection of candidate standing; historical data suggests that many self-identified "blank" voters are, in practice, undecided voters who eventually select a candidate.
  3. ^ Clara López Obregón officially withdrew her candidacy after the final registration deadline. Consequently, her name and photo will remain on the official ballot for the first round. However, any votes cast for her will be considered void.
  4. ^ Notes on March 2026 Polling Data: ¹ Researchs' fieldwork: The 12 electoral polls included in the table below—published between January and early April 2026—utilized fieldwork and data collection concluded prior to the March 20 final candidate registration deadline. While these surveys do not perfectly match the finalized field of 14 candidates, those excluded were minor candidates with support levels averaging less than 1% (typically between 0.1% and 0.5%). Additionally, this data reflects the following electoral dynamics: ² Candidate Withdrawal: Clara López officially withdrew her candidacy after being confirmed on the final ballot to support Iván Cepeda. While her name remains on the legal ballot, her polling figures reflect her status prior to this withdrawal. ³ Blank Votes: While the "Blank Vote" (voto en blanco) is a valid legal option in Colombia, it has historically averaged only 1.5%–1.7% in first-round elections. Data suggests that many respondents who initially select "blank" or "null" are effectively undecided and often choose a candidate by election day. ⁴ Adjusted Projections: In several polls, calculating percentages by excluding blank, null, and undecided responses provides a clearer reflection of the leading candidates' potential to secure an absolute majority or qualify for a second round.

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